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PCTPureCycle Technologies, Inc.Sell5.3·$7.65-4.51%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PureCycle Technologies is growing revenue at 161% year over year and has improved earnings delivery in the last 2 quarters, but quality metrics are at the floor at 1.7 with cash burning at 891% of revenue, 36% short interest, and a death cross — making this a speculative high-risk, high-growth story that is currently below minimum quality thresholds.

Thesis pillars

  • Explosive Revenue Growth Early StageStable
  • Quality Floor Cash Burn BarrierStable
  • Earnings Improvement Recent QuartersStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

PureCycle Technologies, Inc. (PCT) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Pollution & Treatment Controls

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.65: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 33%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. (Note: Risk dimension 2.3/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.)

We are a Florida-based corporation focused on commercializing a patented dissolution recycling technology for polypropylene that physically separates the polymer from other plastics, colors, odors and impurities (the "Technology"). The Technology was originally developed by P&G... Read more

$7.65+33.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#5 of 6 Pollution & Treatment Controls
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-6.36%
Stop $7.08Target $10.15(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$11.67+52.5%6 analysts
$10.15our TP
$7.65price
$11.67mean
$6
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.65: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 33%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. (Note: Risk dimension 2.3/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — PureCycle Technologies, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:27Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-9.5
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA-14.4
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-80.9%
Rev Growth161.2%
Beta2.51
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.97neutral
IV98%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
1.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
6.1
Cash-burning: FCF -891% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 7.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
0.2
Beta
1.6
Days To Cover
3.1
Debt Equity
4.1
Put Call
6.9
High short interest justified: 33%High IV: 98%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
8.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.29Resistance $14.20

Price Targets

$7
$10
A.Upside+32.7%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PCT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.65: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 33%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. (Note: Risk dimension 2.3/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $7.08. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PCT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.15 (+33.4% upside). Prior stop was $7.08. Stop-loss: $7.08.

What are the risks of investing in PCT?

Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).

Is PCT overvalued or undervalued?

PureCycle Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PCT?

10 analysts cover PCT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $12.

What does PureCycle Technologies, Inc. do?We are a Florida-based corporation focused on commercializing a patented dissolution recycling technology for...

We are a Florida-based corporation focused on commercializing a patented dissolution recycling technology for polypropylene that physically separates the polymer from other plastics, colors, odors and impurities (the "Technology"). The Technology was originally developed by P&G and is designed to restore recycled polypropylene waste into like-new resin, called PureFive® resin. Our PureFive® resin has similar properties and applicability for reuse as virgin polypropylene. We have a gl

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