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PCTPureCycle Technologies, Inc.Sell5.7·$6.98-0.29%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PureCycle Technologies is growing revenue at 161% year over year and has improved earnings delivery in the last 2 quarters, but quality metrics are at the floor at 1.7 with cash burning at 891% of revenue, 36% short interest, and a death cross — making this a speculative high-risk, high-growth story that is currently below minimum quality thresholds.

Thesis pillars

  • Explosive Revenue Growth Early StageStable
  • Quality Floor Cash Burn BarrierImproving
  • Earnings Improvement Recent QuartersStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

PureCycle Technologies, Inc. (PCT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Pollution & Treatment Controls

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.98: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 39%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.47; Below-average business quality.

We are a Florida-based corporation focused on commercializing a patented dissolution recycling technology for polypropylene that physically separates the polymer from other plastics, colors, odors and impurities (the "Technology"). The Technology was originally developed by P&G... Read more

$6.98+31.5% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#4 of 6 Pollution & Treatment Controls
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-11.56%
Stop $6.46Target $9.14(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$10.75+54.0%4 analysts
$9.14our TP
$6.98price
$10.75mean
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.98: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 39%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.47; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202683d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-8.2
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA-14.9
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-61.6%
Rev Growth173.5%
Beta2.58
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C1.47bearish
IV98%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Volatile — 7.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
1.4
Put Call
3.5
Debt Equity
3.7
High short interest justified: 39%High IV: 98%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
8.8
Cash-burning: FCF -1181% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
3.5
Support Resistance
4.5

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.7
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
8.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
4.9
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.75Resistance $7.94

Price Targets

$6
$9
A.Upside+31.5%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PCT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.98: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 39%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.47; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Prior stop was $6.46. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PCT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.14 (+31.5% upside). Prior stop was $6.46. Stop-loss: $6.46.

What are the risks of investing in PCT?

Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is PCT overvalued or undervalued?

PureCycle Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PCT?

10 analysts cover PCT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $11.

What does PureCycle Technologies, Inc. do?We are a Florida-based corporation focused on commercializing a patented dissolution recycling technology for...

We are a Florida-based corporation focused on commercializing a patented dissolution recycling technology for polypropylene that physically separates the polymer from other plastics, colors, odors and impurities (the "Technology"). The Technology was originally developed by P&G and is designed to restore recycled polypropylene waste into like-new resin, called PureFive® resin. Our PureFive® resin has similar properties and applicability for reuse as virgin polypropylene. We have a gl

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