Skip to main content
PBAPembina Pipeline Corp.Hold4.4·$50.20-2.28%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pembina Pipeline trades near a 52-week high with strong operating margins of 22%, but it has surpassed analyst targets with negative upside of 26.6%, posted two consecutive earnings misses, and carries falling on-balance volume — making the risk/reward unfavorable at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Dividend Yield Trap RiskDeteriorating
  • Strong Operating Margin ProfileStable
  • Target Exhaustion OvervaluationDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pembina Pipeline Corp. (PBA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldShortModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away).

Pembina Pipeline Corporation provides energy transportation and midstream services. It operates through three segments: Pipelines, Facilities, and Marketing & New Ventures. The Pipelines segment operates conventional, oil sands and heavy oil, and transmission assets with a... Read more

$50.20-28.5% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#45 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.69%
IncomeYield4.00%(5y avg 5.49%)Payout106.77%at-risk
Entry $47.74(5% below current)Stop $46.14Target $50.55(resistance)A.R:R -3.0:1
Analyst target$42.29-15.8%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $50.25 has reached target $50.55. No upside to wait for. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.2
P/E (Fwd)23.4
Mkt Cap$29.9B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn22.2%
ROE9.8%
Rev Growth-7.7%
Beta0.70
Dividend4.00%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.83bearish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -7.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.6
Earnings Growth
2.0
Declining revenue: -8%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.8
Dividend Safety
3.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 3 daysDividend: 4.0%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.9
Value Rank
3.4
Quality Rank
3.5
GatesA.R:R -3.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.50Resistance $51.58

Price Targets

$46
$48
$51
A.Upside-28.5%
A.R:R-3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-28.5% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PBA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $50.25 has reached target $50.55. No upside to wait for. Target $50.55 (+0.7%), stop $46.14 (−8.8%), A.R:R -3.0:1. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PBA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $50.55 (-28.5% upside). Target $50.55 (+0.7%), stop $46.14 (−8.8%), A.R:R -3.0:1. Stop-loss: $46.14.

What are the risks of investing in PBA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away).

Is PBA overvalued or undervalued?

Pembina Pipeline Corp. trades at a P/E of 27.2 (forward 23.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PBA?

22 analysts cover PBA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Pembina Pipeline Corp. do?Pembina Pipeline Corporation provides energy transportation and midstream services. It operates through three segments:...

Pembina Pipeline Corporation provides energy transportation and midstream services. It operates through three segments: Pipelines, Facilities, and Marketing & New Ventures. The Pipelines segment operates conventional, oil sands and heavy oil, and transmission assets with a transportation capacity of 3.0 million of barrels of oil equivalent per day, and the ground storage capacity of 10 million of barrels serving markets and basins across North America. The Facilities segment offers infrastructure that provides customers with crude oil, natural gas, condensate, and natural gas liquids (NGLs), including ethane, propane, butane, and condensate; and includes 430 thousands of barrels of NGL fractionation capacity, 21 million of barrels of cavern storage capacity, and various oil batteries, associated pipeline, and rail terminalling facilities and a liquefied propane export facility. The Marketing & New Ventures segment buys and sells hydrocarbon liquids and natural gas originating in the Western Canadian sedimentary basin and other basins. Pembina Pipeline Corporation was incorporated in 1954 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Related stocks: STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · TRMD (TORM plc) · FRO (Frontline Plc) · CMBT (CMB.TECH NV)
Home Stocks PBA

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat82d ago
MarketBeat82d ago
The Globe and Mail82d agoAnalyst
The Elkhart Truth83d ago
Yahoo Sports83d ago
MarketBeat88d ago
GuruFocus88d ago
MarketBeat88d agoEarnings
MarketBeat81d ago
MarketBeat86d ago
MarketBeat86d agoAnalyst
富途牛牛87d agoEarnings
GuruFocus80d ago
Yahoo Finance Singapore81d ago
MSN87d ago
Benzinga10d ago
Benzinga25d ago
Benzinga62d agoAnalyst
Benzinga62d agoProduct
Benzinga70d ago
Loading more...