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Pembina Pipeline Corp. (PBA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.01 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.5% away).

Pembina Pipeline Corporation provides energy transportation and midstream services. It operates through three segments: Pipelines, Facilities, and Marketing & New Ventures. The Pipelines segment operates conventional, oil sands and heavy oil, and transmission assets with a... Read more

$46.01-2.0% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#41 of 41 Oil & Gas Midstream
Stop $44.45Target $45.06(resistance)A.R:R -2.7:1
Analyst target$40.89-11.1%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.01 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.5% away)
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.1
P/E (Fwd)20.5
Mkt Cap$26.2B
EV/EBITDA12.0
Profit Mgn21.8%
ROE9.9%
Rev Growth-10.8%
Beta0.71
Dividend4.56%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.27bearish
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -10.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -11%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.0
52w Position
9.9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.0
Value Rank
3.6
Quality Rank
4.5
GatesA.R:R -2.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $41.83Resistance $45.98

Price Targets

$44
$45
A.Upside-2.1%
A.R:R-2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-24.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PBA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.01 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $44.45. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PBA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.06 (-2.0% upside). Prior stop was $44.45. Stop-loss: $44.45.

What are the risks of investing in PBA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.5% away); Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Is PBA overvalued or undervalued?

Pembina Pipeline Corp. trades at a P/E of 23.1 (forward 20.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PBA?

21 analysts cover PBA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Pembina Pipeline Corp. do?Pembina Pipeline Corporation provides energy transportation and midstream services. It operates through three segments:...

Pembina Pipeline Corporation provides energy transportation and midstream services. It operates through three segments: Pipelines, Facilities, and Marketing & New Ventures. The Pipelines segment operates conventional, oil sands and heavy oil, and transmission assets with a transportation capacity of 3.0 million of barrels of oil equivalent per day, and the ground storage capacity of 10 million of barrels serving markets and basins across North America. The Facilities segment offers infrastructure that provides customers with crude oil, natural gas, condensate, and natural gas liquids (NGLs), including ethane, propane, butane, and condensate; and includes 430 thousands of barrels of NGL fractionation capacity, 21 million of barrels of cavern storage capacity, and various oil batteries, associated pipeline, and rail terminalling facilities and a liquefied propane export facility. The Marketing & New Ventures segment buys and sells hydrocarbon liquids and natural gas originating in the Western Canadian sedimentary basin and other basins. Pembina Pipeline Corporation was incorporated in 1954 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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