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PBAPembina Pipeline Corp.Hold5.4·$48.73
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pembina Pipeline trades near a 52-week high with strong operating margins of 22%, but it has surpassed analyst targets with negative upside of 26.6%, posted two consecutive earnings misses, and carries falling on-balance volume — making the risk/reward unfavorable at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Dividend Yield Trap Risk↑Improving
  • Strong Operating Margin Profile→Stable
  • Target Exhaustion Overvaluation→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pembina Pipeline Corp. (PBA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $48.73, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Pembina Pipeline Corporation provides energy transportation and midstream services. It operates through three segments: Pipelines, Facilities, and Marketing & New Ventures. The Pipelines segment operates conventional, oil sands and heavy oil, and transmission assets with a... Read more

$48.73-16.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#38 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.13%
IncomeYield4.26%(5y avg 5.30%)Payout100.88%at-risk
Stop $46.63Analyst target $40.58(reached)A.R:R -3.4:1
Analyst consensus$47.74-2.0%1 analysts with price targets
Range unavailable (1 analysts with price targets)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $48.73, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 1, 2026

Recent Developments — Pembina Pipeline Corp.

Latest item Nov 1, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:54:13Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.8
P/E (Fwd)21.8
Mkt Cap$28.3B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn22.4%
ROE10.5%
Rev Growth20.1%
Beta0.73
Dividend4.26%
Analysts with ratings22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.10bearish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$60+23.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.0
Quality Rank
3.3
Value Rank
3.4
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -3.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $46.34Resistance $51.52

Price Targets

A.Upside-16.7%
A.R:R-3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings today - binary event risk
! Target reached (-16.7% upside)
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PBA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $48.73, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $40.58 reached (−16.7%), stop $46.63 (−4.5%), A.R:R -3.4:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PBA stock price target?

Analyst target $40.58 reached (−16.7% from $48.73); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $40.58 reached (−16.7%), stop $46.63 (−4.5%), A.R:R -3.4:1. Stop-loss: $46.63.

What are the risks of investing in PBA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is PBA overvalued or undervalued?

Pembina Pipeline Corp. trades at a P/E of 23.8 (forward 21.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PBA?

22 analysts rate PBA, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 1 analysts publish price targets averaging $48.

What does Pembina Pipeline Corp. do?Pembina Pipeline Corporation provides energy transportation and midstream services. It operates through three segments:...

Pembina Pipeline Corporation provides energy transportation and midstream services. It operates through three segments: Pipelines, Facilities, and Marketing & New Ventures. The Pipelines segment operates conventional, oil sands and heavy oil, and transmission assets with a transportation capacity of 3.0 million of barrels of oil equivalent per day, and the ground storage capacity of 10 million of barrels serving markets and basins across North America. The Facilities segment offers infrastructure that provides customers with crude oil, natural gas, condensate, and natural gas liquids (NGLs), including ethane, propane, butane, and condensate; and includes 430 thousands of barrels of NGL fractionation capacity, 21 million of barrels of cavern storage capacity, and various oil batteries, associated pipeline, and rail terminalling facilities and a liquefied propane export facility. The Marketing & New Ventures segment buys and sells hydrocarbon liquids and natural gas originating in the Western Canadian sedimentary basin and other basins. Pembina Pipeline Corporation was incorporated in 1954 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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