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OMEROmeros CorporationSell5.7·$9.02-4.14%
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Omeros Corporation (OMER) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.02: Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Omeros Corporation, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes small-molecule and protein therapeutics, and orphan indications targeting immunologic diseases. The company's lead products candidate is the Narsoplimab (OMS721/MASP-2) for... Read more

$9.02+14.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#44 of 258 Biotechnology
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield26.95%
Stop $8.63Target $10.61(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$33.00+265.9%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.02: Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Omeros Corporation

Generated 2026-07-05T09:50:25Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202640d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $33.00 vs price $9.28 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -8.5%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.14% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.1
P/E (Fwd)-59.9
Mkt Cap$672M
EV/EBITDA-7.3
Profit Mgn871.0%
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta2.55
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.24bullish
IV100%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 11.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
0.9
Days To Cover
1.4
Beta
1.5
News Risk
5.0
Put Call
10.0
High short interest justified: 26%High IV: 100%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.8
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+9.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.5
Support Resistance
3.8
Bollinger
7.4
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.70Resistance $10.83

Price Targets

$9
$11
A.Upside+17.6%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $33.00 vs price $9.28 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -8.5%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.14% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OMER stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.02: Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 26%; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $8.63. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OMER stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.61 (+14.3% upside). Prior stop was $8.63. Stop-loss: $8.63.

What are the risks of investing in OMER?

DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $33.00 vs price $9.28 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -8.5%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.14% of cap).

Is OMER overvalued or undervalued?

Omeros Corporation trades at a P/E of 8.1 (forward -59.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OMER?

10 analysts cover OMER with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Omeros Corporation do?Omeros Corporation, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes small-molecule...

Omeros Corporation, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes small-molecule and protein therapeutics, and orphan indications targeting immunologic diseases. The company's lead products candidate is the Narsoplimab (OMS721/MASP-2) for the treatment of hematopoietic stem-cell transplant-associated thrombotic microangiopathy (TA-TMA); and in Phase II clinical trial to treat COVID-19 and acute respiratory distress syndrome. It also develops OMS1029 that has completed phase I clinical trials for mannan-binding lectin-associated serine protease 2 (MASP-2) and lectin pathway disorders; and OMS527 that is in phase I clinical trials for addictions and compulsive disorders, and movement disorders, as well as cocaine use disorder. In addition, the company's products under preclinical development comprise MASP-2, a pro-inflammatory protein target for the treatment of lectin pathway disorders; MASP-3 small-molecule inhibitors for alternative pathway disorders; OncotoX-AML, to treat acute myeloid leukemia; and Targeted Complement Activating Therapy, for Multidrug-resistant organisms. Omeros Corporation was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.

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Benzinga6d ago