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OFRMOnce Upon a Farm, PBCSell5.5·$21.38-2.29%
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Once Upon a Farm, PBC (OFRM) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.38: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.38; Below-average business quality.

Once Upon A Farm, PBC produces and sells organic baby food pouches, meals, and snacks for children. The company provides pouches, including fruit an veggie blends, functional blends, and smoothies; frozen organic meals; and soft-baked bars for kids. It sells its products through... Read more

$21.38+5.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#9 of 32 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-3.07%
Stop $19.88Target $22.54(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$24.38+14.0%8 analysts
$22.54our TP
$21.38price
$24.38mean
$17
$39

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.38: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.38; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-0.8% upside)
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)50.5
Mkt Cap$896M
EV/EBITDA-71.4
Profit Mgn-5.2%
ROE-21.0%
Rev Growth43.7%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.38bearish
IV95%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 6.8% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
1.3
Debt Equity
9.6
High short interest justified: 22%Elevated put/call: 3.38High IV: 95%

Unprofitable operations — net margin -5.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
4.6
Moat
6.5
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.0
Cash-burning: FCF -10% of revenueQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.9
Bollinger
2.1
52w Position
5.8
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $14.52Resistance $23.00

Price Targets

$20
$23
A.Upside+5.4%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OFRM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.38: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.38; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $19.88. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OFRM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.54 (+5.4% upside). Prior stop was $19.88. Stop-loss: $19.88.

What are the risks of investing in OFRM?

Target reached (-0.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).

Is OFRM overvalued or undervalued?

Once Upon a Farm, PBC trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 50.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OFRM?

15 analysts cover OFRM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Once Upon a Farm, PBC do?Once Upon A Farm, PBC produces and sells organic baby food pouches, meals, and snacks for children. The company...

Once Upon A Farm, PBC produces and sells organic baby food pouches, meals, and snacks for children. The company provides pouches, including fruit an veggie blends, functional blends, and smoothies; frozen organic meals; and soft-baked bars for kids. It sells its products through retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and delivery platforms, as well as directly to consumers through platform. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in Berkeley, California.

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