Skip to main content
NVMINova Ltd.Sell5.3·$371.17+5.24%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Nova Ltd. is a semiconductor equipment company with a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak, wide economic moat, 29% operating margins, and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, but the stock trades at a forward P/E of 46.8x and has already exceeded analyst price targets, leaving little near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat High Margin QualityStable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Rich Valuation Limits ReturnStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Nova Ltd. (NVMI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $371.17. Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Nova Ltd. engages in the design, development, production, and sale of process control systems used in the manufacture of semiconductors in Taiwan, the United States, China, Korea, and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes a set of metrology platforms for... Read more

$371.17+24.8% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#20 of 25 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.01%
Stop $344.91Target $462.84(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$532.00+43.3%8 analysts
$462.84our TP
$371.17price
$532.00mean
$600

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $371.17. Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202662d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.4
P/E (Fwd)25.8
Mkt Cap$11.2B
EV/EBITDA37.1
Profit Mgn28.8%
ROE21.1%
Rev Growth15.9%
Beta1.78
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.32bearish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$320-13.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 5.5>=5.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $335.47Resistance $431.58

Price Targets

$345
$463
A.Upside+24.8%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts15
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$532

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NVMI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $371.17. Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $344.91. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NVMI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $462.84 (+24.8% upside). Prior stop was $344.91. Stop-loss: $344.91.

What are the risks of investing in NVMI?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is NVMI overvalued or undervalued?

Nova Ltd. trades at a P/E of 43.4 (forward 25.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NVMI?

15 analysts cover NVMI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $532.

What does Nova Ltd. do?Nova Ltd. engages in the design, development, production, and sale of process control systems used in the manufacture...

Nova Ltd. engages in the design, development, production, and sale of process control systems used in the manufacture of semiconductors in Taiwan, the United States, China, Korea, and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes a set of metrology platforms for dimensional, films, and materials and chemical metrology measurements for process control for various semiconductor manufacturing process steps, such as lithography, Etch, chemical mechanical planarization, deposition, electrochemical plating, and advanced packaging. It serves various sectors of the integrated circuit manufacturing industry, including logic, foundry, memory, and packaging sectors, as well as process equipment manufacturers. Nova Ltd. was formerly known as Nova Measuring Instruments Ltd. and changed its name to Nova Ltd. in July 2021. Nova Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Rehovot, Israel.

Related stocks: TER (Teradyne, Inc.) · KLIC (Kulicke and Soffa Industries, I) · ACMR (ACM Research, Inc.) · ONTO (Onto Innovation Inc.) · PLAB (Photronics, Inc.)
Home Stocks NVMI

Latest news

Latest News

TradingView115d agoEarnings
StockStory31d agoEarnings
GuruFocus31d ago
Quiver Quantitative65d ago
Dars.gov.et65d ago
GuruFocus38d ago
Moomoo115d ago
GuruFocus59d ago
GuruFocus60d ago
Yahoo Finance36d ago
MarketBeat36d agoEarnings
MarketBeat120d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance Singapore29d ago
GuruFocus67d ago
Yahoo Finance35d ago
GuruFocus36d ago
GuruFocus64d ago
Benzinga2d ago
Benzinga25d ago
Benzinga28d ago
Loading more...