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NMCONMCOHold5.4·$10.09+3.22%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This holding shows excellent cash conversion and near-perfect quality metrics with positive momentum, but it is overbought and trading near its 52-week high with an expensive valuation and unattractive near-term risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Excellent Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Overbought Momentum Near HighsDeteriorating
  • Rich Valuation RiskImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

NMCO (NMCO) Stock Analysis

HoldValueShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

$10.09+3.5% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#145 of 240 Asset Management
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.71%
IncomeYield8.41%(5y avg 6.29%)Payout169.24%at-risk
Stop $9.74Target $10.43(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-03

Recent Developments — NMCO

Generated 2026-09-03T17:12:23Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
High-quality business
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.9
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$560M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn41.2%
ROE4.5%
Rev Growth
Beta0.88
Dividend8.41%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.5
Rsi
3.0
Macd
3.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.70Resistance $10.64

Price Targets

$10
$10
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for NMCO.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NMCO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $10.43 (+3.4%), stop $9.74 (−3.6%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NMCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.43 (+3.5% upside). Target $10.43 (+3.4%), stop $9.74 (−3.6%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $9.74.

What are the risks of investing in NMCO?

Negative momentum.

Is NMCO overvalued or undervalued?

NMCO trades at a P/E of 19.9 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

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Latest News

Benzinga8d ago