Skip to main content
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This holding shows excellent cash conversion and near-perfect quality metrics with positive momentum, but it is overbought and trading near its 52-week high with an expensive valuation and unattractive near-term risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Excellent Cash Conversion Quality→Stable
  • Overbought Momentum Near Highs↓Deteriorating
  • Rich Valuation Risk↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

NMCO (NMCO) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.73, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

$8.73+11.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#137 of 236 Asset Management
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield7.25%
IncomeYield9.66%(5y avg 6.35%)Payout169.24%at-risk
Stop $8.31Target $9.71(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.73, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-13

Recent Developments — NMCO

Generated 2026-10-13T11:47:15Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
High-quality business
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.8
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$518M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn41.2%
ROE4.5%
Rev Growth8.3%
Beta0.89
Dividend9.66%
Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
1.8
Rsi
3.0
Macd
6.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
27 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.33Resistance $9.91

Price Targets

$8
$10
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for NMCO.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NMCO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.73, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $9.71 (+11.2%), stop $8.31 (−5.1%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NMCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.71 (+11.2% upside). Target $9.71 (+11.2%), stop $8.31 (−5.1%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $8.31.

What are the risks of investing in NMCO?

Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

Is NMCO overvalued or undervalued?

NMCO trades at a P/E of 17.8 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

0
Related stocks: ETO (Eaton Vance Tax-Advantage Globa) · GAB (Gabelli Equity Trust, Inc. (The) · FFA (First Trust Enhanced Equity Inc) · CII (BlackRock Enhanced Large Cap Co) · TWN (Taiwan Fund, Inc. (The))
Home › Stocks › NMCO

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga48d ago