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GLADGladstone Capital CorporationHold6.6·$19.54-0.81%
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Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Gladstone Capital Corporation is a business development company specializing in lower middle market, growth capital, add on acquisitions, change of control, buy & build strategies, debt refinancing, debt investments in senior term loans, revolving loans, secured first and second... Read more

$19.54-0.5% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#15 of 240 Asset Management
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.90%
IncomeYield9.43%(5y avg 8.23%)Payout101.07%at-risk
Stop $18.68Target $19.45(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$22.00+12.6%3 analysts
Range unavailable (3 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.4
P/E (Fwd)10.1
Mkt Cap$441M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn44.1%
ROE8.4%
Rev Growth20.5%
Beta0.92
Dividend9.43%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.77neutral
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.7
Support Resistance
2.0
52w Position
4.6
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.28Resistance $19.85

Price Targets

$19
$19
A.Upside-0.5%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GLAD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $19.45 (-0.5%), stop $18.68 (−4.6%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GLAD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.45 (-0.5% upside). Target $19.45 (-0.5%), stop $18.68 (−4.6%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $18.68.

What are the risks of investing in GLAD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is GLAD overvalued or undervalued?

Gladstone Capital Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.4 (forward 10.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GLAD?

12 analysts cover GLAD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Gladstone Capital Corporation do?Gladstone Capital Corporation is a business development company specializing in lower middle market, growth capital,...

Gladstone Capital Corporation is a business development company specializing in lower middle market, growth capital, add on acquisitions, change of control, buy & build strategies, debt refinancing, debt investments in senior term loans, revolving loans, secured first and second lien term loans, senior subordinated loans, unitranche loans, junior subordinated loans, and mezzanine loans and equity investments in the form of common stock, preferred stock, limited liability company interests, or warrants. It operates as a business development company. The fund also makes private equity investments in acquisitions, buyouts and recapitalizations, and refinancing existing debts. It targets small and medium-sized companies in United States. It is industry agnostic and seeks to invest in companies engaged in the business services, light and specialty manufacturing, niche industrial products and services, specialty consumer products and services, energy services, transportation and logistics, healthcare and education services, specialty chemicals, media and communications and aerospace and defense. The fund seeks to invest in debt between $8 million and $40 million in companies that have between $20 million and $150 million in sales and EBITDA between $3 million and $25 million. It prefers to acquire minority stakes. It seeks to exit its investments through strategic acquisitions by other industry participants or financial buyers, initial public offerings of common stock, or other capital market transactions.

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