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NICNicolet Bankshares Inc.Hold6.2·$166.72-1.24%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Nicolet Bankshares has beaten earnings estimates in 4 consecutive quarters, achieved 46% revenue growth, and trades at a forward P/E of 11x with a PEG of 0.20, but the current price is within 3% of analyst consensus targets and low upside margin limits near-term conviction.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Four Quarter Beat StreakStable
  • Exceptional Revenue GrowthStable
  • Attractive Valuation PegStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Nicolet Bankshares Inc. (NIC) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away).

Nicolet Bankshares is a Wisconsin-based bank holding company operating Nicolet National Bank, a commercial bank with 57 branches across Wisconsin, Michigan, and Minnesota at year-end 2025, expanded to 114 after the February 2026 MidWestOne acquisition. Revenue is driven... Read more

$166.72+0.4% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#56 of 225 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.79%Payout15.04%sustainable
Stop $157.38Target $167.40(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$174.20+4.5%5 analysts
$167.40our TP
$166.72price
$174.20mean
$183

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Nicolet Bankshares Inc.

About Nicolet Bankshares Inc.

Nicolet Bankshares reported $9.2 billion in total assets, $6.8 billion in loans, and record net income of $151 million, or $9.78 per diluted share, for fiscal 2025, operating 57 branches principally across Wisconsin, Michigan, and Minnesota. Nicolet National Bank, the principal operating subsidiary, holds a national bank charter supervised by the OCC. The February 13, 2026 acquisition of MidWestOne Financial Group added roughly $6 billion in assets and 57 branches, extending the network into Iowa and Denver, Colorado.

Nicolet earns revenue primarily from net interest income on its $6.8 billion loan portfolio funded by $7.7 billion in deposits, supplemented by service charges, trust and brokerage fees, card interchange income, and residential mortgage sales. The loan book covers commercial-related credits — including commercial and industrial loans, owner-occupied CRE, agricultural production and real estate, CRE investment, and construction — alongside residential real estate and consumer credits. Core clients are owner-managed small and medium-sized businesses and their individual owners. Nicolet Advisory Services and Nicolet Insurance Services provide ancillary brokerage, advisory, and crop insurance products. The company completed ten acquisitions from 2012 through 2025 plus the February 2026 MidWestOne merger, reflecting a growth model that blends organic lending with disciplined M&A.

Show full overview

Nicolet National Bank operates as a national bank under OCC examination authority, with the Federal Reserve supervising the parent holding company under the Bank Holding Company Act. Financial holding company status, elected in 2008, requires the bank to meet the OCC's capital adequacy thresholds and management standards on an ongoing basis; failure could restrict permissible activities including the insurance and advisory services offered through Nicolet Insurance and Nicolet Advisory. The Wisconsin Department of Financial Institutions provides an additional layer of state oversight, and the Parent Company relies on the Bank as its principal source of cash flow for dividends and debt service.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Nicolet Bankshares Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 14, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.4% away)
Overbought (RSI 79)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.6
P/E (Fwd)12.6
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn31.1%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth46.5%
Beta0.65
Dividend0.79%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.1
Bollinger
1.2
52w Position
9.5
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $134.34Resistance $170.82

Price Targets

$157
$167
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-14 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NIC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $166.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $167.40 (+0.4%), stop $157.38 (−5.9%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NIC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $167.40 (+0.4% upside). Target $167.40 (+0.4%), stop $157.38 (−5.9%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $157.38.

What are the risks of investing in NIC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away); Overbought (RSI 79).

Is NIC overvalued or undervalued?

Nicolet Bankshares Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 12.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NIC?

9 analysts cover NIC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $174.

What does Nicolet Bankshares Inc. do?Nicolet Bankshares is a Wisconsin-based bank holding company operating Nicolet National Bank, a commercial bank with 57...

Nicolet Bankshares is a Wisconsin-based bank holding company operating Nicolet National Bank, a commercial bank with 57 branches across Wisconsin, Michigan, and Minnesota at year-end 2025, expanded to 114 after the February 2026 MidWestOne acquisition. Revenue is driven primarily by net interest income on $6.8 billion in loans and $7.7 billion in deposits, serving primarily small and medium-sized businesses; record net income reached $151 million in fiscal 2025.

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