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NATNordic American Tankers LimitedSell6.5·$6.40-0.31%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Nordic American Tankers shows 104% revenue growth and an attractive valuation, but a perfect 4-for-4 earnings miss record with an average negative surprise of 97%, a negative news modifier, and a stock already above its resistance target all point to a thesis where reported growth has not translated into shareholder returns.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth Not ConvertingStable
  • Consistent Earnings Miss PatternImproving
  • Negative Asymmetry Above ResistanceStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.40 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.7% away).

Nordic American Tankers Limited, a tanker company, owns, operates, and charters double-hull tankers in Bermuda and internationally. As of December 31, 2025, the company fleet consisted of 20 Suezmax crude oil tankers. It serves oil companies, oil traders, and other entities... Read more

$6.40-20.9% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#12 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-7.30%
IncomeYield13.71%(5y avg 8.36%)Payout181.74%at-risk
Stop $6.00Target $6.47(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$6.00-6.3%2 analysts
$6.47our TP
$6.40price
$6.00mean
$5
$8

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.40 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 27, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.7% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.8
P/E (Fwd)17.2
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA13.6
Profit Mgn16.4%
ROE11.4%
Rev Growth104.3%
Beta-0.55
Dividend13.71%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV52%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
4.0
Dividend Safety
4.3
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $5.49Resistance $6.60

Price Targets

$6
$6
A.Upside-20.9%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-20.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-27 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NAT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $6.40 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $6.00. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NAT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.47 (-20.9% upside). Prior stop was $6.00. Stop-loss: $6.00.

What are the risks of investing in NAT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.7% away); Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is NAT overvalued or undervalued?

Nordic American Tankers Limited trades at a P/E of 24.8 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NAT?

8 analysts cover NAT with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $6.

What does Nordic American Tankers Limited do?Nordic American Tankers Limited, a tanker company, owns, operates, and charters double-hull tankers in Bermuda and...

Nordic American Tankers Limited, a tanker company, owns, operates, and charters double-hull tankers in Bermuda and internationally. As of December 31, 2025, the company fleet consisted of 20 Suezmax crude oil tankers. It serves oil companies, oil traders, and other entities requiring crude oil transportation services. The company was formerly known as Nordic American Tanker Shipping Limited and changed its name to American Tankers Limited in June, 2011. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · TNK (Teekay Tankers Ltd.)
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