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MUXMcEwen Inc.Sell6.6·$18.85+1.45%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

McEwen Mining has delivered 107% revenue growth and 3 of 4 recent earnings beats with an average surprise of 128%, with analysts seeing 60% upside to target, but a commodity cycle peak signal and short interest of 19% of the float present meaningful risk to the bull case.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Analyst Upside ConvictionImproving
  • Commodity Cycle Peak RiskDeteriorating
  • Triple Digit Revenue GrowthDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

McEwen Inc. (MUX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.85: Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.6/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.59; Below-average business quality.

We were incorporated under the laws of the state of Colorado in 1979 as US Gold Corp. In September 2011, US Gold Corp. acquired Minera Andes Inc., and was renamed McEwen Mining Inc. Effective July 7, 2025, the Company changed its name from McEwen Mining Inc. to McEwen Inc. We... Read more

$18.85+43.5% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#3 of 13 Other Precious Metals & Mining
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-1.63%
Stop $17.48Target $26.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$31.00+64.5%5 analysts
$26.97our TP
$18.85price
$31.00mean
$37

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.85: Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.6/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.59; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on materials cycle peak fwd=5.6x,ratio=0.38x. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.38× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.7
P/E (Fwd)5.6
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA41.2
Profit Mgn32.5%
ROE13.5%
Rev Growth26.8%
Beta1.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.59bearish
IV79%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 5.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.1
Put Call
2.7
Beta
6.0
Debt Equity
9.3
High short interest: 24%Elevated put/call: 1.59High IV: 79%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.7
Bollinger
3.1
Support Resistance
3.5
Gap
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.2
Quality Rank
5.2
Value Rank
6.9
GatesMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=5.6x,ratio=0.38xMomentum 8.5>=5.5A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.25Resistance $20.20

Price Targets

$17
$27
A.Upside+43.5%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0)
! MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=5.6x,ratio=0.38x

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MUX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.85: Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.6/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.59; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $17.48. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MUX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $26.97 (+43.5% upside). Prior stop was $17.48. Stop-loss: $17.48.

What are the risks of investing in MUX?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.6× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.38× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0).

Is MUX overvalued or undervalued?

McEwen Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.7 (forward 5.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MUX?

9 analysts cover MUX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $31.

What does McEwen Inc. do?We were incorporated under the laws of the state of Colorado in 1979 as US Gold Corp. In September 2011, US Gold Corp....

We were incorporated under the laws of the state of Colorado in 1979 as US Gold Corp. In September 2011, US Gold Corp. acquired Minera Andes Inc., and was renamed McEwen Mining Inc. Effective July 7, 2025, the Company changed its name from McEwen Mining Inc. to McEwen Inc. We own 100% of the Froome mine and Stock mill in Ontario, Canada; 100% of the Gold Bar Mine Complex in Nevada; 100% of El Gallo (previously known as the Fenix Project) in Sinaloa, Mexico; a 46.3% interest in McEwen

Related stocks: BVN (Buenaventura Mining Company Inc) · ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.) · TFPM (Triple Flag Precious Metals Cor) · SBSW (D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limite) · MTA (Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd)
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