Skip to main content
MUXMcEwen Inc.Sell6.2·$19.79-1.64%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

McEwen Mining has delivered 107% revenue growth and 3 of 4 recent earnings beats with an average surprise of 128%, with analysts seeing 60% upside to target, but a commodity cycle peak signal and short interest of 19% of the float present meaningful risk to the bull case.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Analyst Upside ConvictionImproving
  • Commodity Cycle Peak RiskDeteriorating
  • Triple Digit Revenue GrowthStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

McEwen Inc. (MUX) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.79 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.31× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5).

We were incorporated under the laws of the state of Colorado in 1979 as US Gold Corp. In September 2011, US Gold Corp. acquired Minera Andes Inc., and was renamed McEwen Mining Inc. Effective July 7, 2025, the Company changed its name from McEwen Mining Inc. to McEwen Inc. We... Read more

$19.79+31.3% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#6 of 14 Other Precious Metals & Mining
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-1.52%
Stop $19.10Target $26.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$31.00+56.6%5 analysts
$26.97our TP
$19.79price
$31.00mean
$37

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.79 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.31× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and materials cycle peak fwd=5.0x,ratio=0.31x. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.31× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.3
P/E (Fwd)5.0
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA45.4
Profit Mgn32.5%
ROE13.5%
Rev Growth26.8%
Beta1.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.77neutral
IV89%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.0
Quality Rank
4.3
Value Rank
5.8

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
3.4
Support Resistance
3.8
52w Position
3.8
Gap
4.0
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5MATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=5.0x,ratio=0.31xA.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $18.28Resistance $21.93

Price Targets

$19
$27
A.Upside+31.3%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=5.0x,ratio=0.31x

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MUX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.79 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.31× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $19.10. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MUX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $26.97 (+31.3% upside). Prior stop was $19.10. Stop-loss: $19.10.

What are the risks of investing in MUX?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 5.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.31× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is MUX overvalued or undervalued?

McEwen Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.3 (forward 5.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MUX?

9 analysts cover MUX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $31.

What does McEwen Inc. do?We were incorporated under the laws of the state of Colorado in 1979 as US Gold Corp. In September 2011, US Gold Corp....

We were incorporated under the laws of the state of Colorado in 1979 as US Gold Corp. In September 2011, US Gold Corp. acquired Minera Andes Inc., and was renamed McEwen Mining Inc. Effective July 7, 2025, the Company changed its name from McEwen Mining Inc. to McEwen Inc. We own 100% of the Froome mine and Stock mill in Ontario, Canada; 100% of the Gold Bar Mine Complex in Nevada; 100% of El Gallo (previously known as the Fenix Project) in Sinaloa, Mexico; a 46.3% interest in McEwen

Related stocks: VOXR (Vox Royalty Corp.) · SBSW (D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limite) · BVN (Buenaventura Mining Company Inc) · ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.) · TFPM (Triple Flag Precious Metals Cor)
Home Stocks MUX

Latest news

Latest News

Wealth Awesome44d ago
Yahoo Finance Singapore44d agoProduct
Wealth Awesome44d ago
Dars.gov.et52d ago
Wealth Awesome30d ago
Investing.com45d ago
The Manila Times31d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com31d agoEarnings
GlobeNewswire31d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance36d agoProduct
Investing.com Canada36d ago
Citybuzz -43d ago
Ad-hoc-news.de43d ago
TradingKey43d ago
TradingKey43d ago
TradingKey43d ago
Wealth Awesome50d ago
Wealth Awesome50d ago
TradingKey40d ago
CryptoDaily47d ago
Loading more...