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LOPEGrand Canyon Education, Inc.Buy Wait6.0·$152.45+1.91%

Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+8.2% vs estimateEPS $1.81 vs $1.67 estCurrent verdict Buy (Wait) 6.0/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$1.81
Estimate
$1.67
Surprise
+8.2%
Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
$264.0M
Score today
6.0/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) beat the $1.67 estimate with diluted EPS of $1.81 — a clear 8.2% upside surprise.

Current read · as of 2026-09-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates LOPE Buy (Wait) at 6.0/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +8.2% surprise compares with a +3.8% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-04.

What supports the rating

  • V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.9 in RISK_OFF)
  • Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8

What argues against it

  • Thin upside margin: 8.7%
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
  • Reward/Risk 1.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$152.45
Entry target
$146.13
Price target
$165.75
Stop
$138.08
Upside to target
+8.7%
Reward-to-risk
1.0:1

The stock trades at 18.1× trailing but 13.2× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Defensive context

LOPE at TrendMatrix's latest read

Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.

Industry
Education & Training Services
Market cap
$3.90B
P/E (fwd)
13.2
P/E (ttm)
18.1
52-week range
$134.27$223.04
Off 52-week high
31.6%
RSI (14)
69
Volume vs avg
1.00×
Score today
6.0/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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