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LINELineage, Inc.Sell4.6·$37.75+0.96%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Four consecutive earnings beats show improving execution, but the stock sits just 2.5% below resistance with a reward-to-risk ratio of 0.36, business quality falls materially below the minimum threshold, and volume accumulation is deteriorating — together these conditions do not support adding or initiating exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Execution Above ExpectationsStable
  • Quality Below Acceptable FloorStable
  • Deteriorating Volume MomentumDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Lineage, Inc. (LINE) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellValueQualityModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.75: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Lineage, Inc. is the world's largest temperature-controlled warehouse REIT, operating 501 warehouses with 3.1 billion cubic feet of capacity across North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. For the year ended December 31, 2025, the company generated $5.4 billion in revenue from... Read more

$37.75+7.8% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#14 of 15 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield9.79%
IncomeYield5.64%Payout0.00%
Stop $35.80Target $40.70(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$45.22+19.8%18 analysts
$40.70our TP
$37.75price
$45.22mean
$63

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.75: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 15, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-13

Recent Developments — Lineage, Inc.

Generated 2026-09-13T14:46:55Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (68.0%)
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-54.7
Mkt Cap$9.5B
EV/EBITDA15.5
Profit Mgn-3.1%
ROE-2.0%
Rev Growth0.8%
Beta0.88
Dividend5.64%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$50+32.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States68%
    10-K Item 1: 'The United States comprised 68% of our global warehousing segment revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • LOWGeographicCalifornia10%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 10% of our owned or leased warehouses were located in California'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop 25 customers33%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 33.0% of our total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025 came from our top 25 customers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Sudarsan Thattai, CIO and Chief Transformation Officer, notified Lineage on April 7, 2026 of plans to retire on April 2, 2027. CIO responsibilities to transition to other management before retirement; Thattai to continue as Chief Transformation Officer until retirement date.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.5
Operating Margin
1.5
Gross Margin
2.4
Current Ratio
3.1
Moat
3.1
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.2
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
5.8
Capitulation risk (RSI 15, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
2.0
Value Rank
8.0
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Moderate
RSI
15 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.91Resistance $43.09

Price Targets

$36
$41
A.Upside+7.8%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LINE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.75: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 15, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $35.80. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LINE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.70 (+7.8% upside). Prior stop was $35.80. Stop-loss: $35.80.

What are the risks of investing in LINE?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (68.0%); Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is LINE overvalued or undervalued?

Lineage, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -54.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LINE?

26 analysts cover LINE with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $45.

What does Lineage, Inc. do?Lineage, Inc. is the world's largest temperature-controlled warehouse REIT, operating 501 warehouses with 3.1 billion...

Lineage, Inc. is the world's largest temperature-controlled warehouse REIT, operating 501 warehouses with 3.1 billion cubic feet of capacity across North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. For the year ended December 31, 2025, the company generated $5.4 billion in revenue from storage and handling fees charged to more than 11,000 food industry customers, with 46.1% of storage revenues under minimum-guarantee contracts.

Related stocks: FR (First Industrial Realty Trust, ) · IIPR (Innovative Industrial Propertie) · PSA (Public Storage) · SMA (SmartStop Self Storage REIT, In) · TRNO (Terreno Realty Corporation)
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