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LINLinde plcHold5.6·$512.60+1.24%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Linde is a best-in-class industrial franchise with four consecutive earnings beats and operating margins of 20%, but the share price has already moved past the near-term resistance target, the forward P/E of 26.5x screens expensive relative to a PEG of 2.21, and falling volume into the breakout signals that the current setup favors trimming or standing aside rather than adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margins And QualityStable
  • Expensive Valuation Price Past TargetImproving
  • Volume Distribution Into BreakoutDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Linde plc (LIN) Stock Analysis

HoldQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 6 days (2026-07-31). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $512.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Linde is the largest industrial gas company worldwide and is a major technological innovator in the industrial gases industry. Its primary products in its industrial gases business are atmospheric gases (oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases) and process gases (hydrogen,... Read more

$512.60-3.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#19 of 41 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.98%
IncomeYield1.26%(5y avg 1.30%)Payout40.45%sustainable
Stop $492.40Target $537.24(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$548.80+7.1%25 analysts
$537.24our TP
$512.60price
$548.80mean
$400
$622

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $512.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.5
P/E (Fwd)26.1
Mkt Cap$236.9B
EV/EBITDA19.2
Profit Mgn20.4%
ROE18.2%
Rev Growth8.2%
Beta0.72
Dividend1.26%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV34%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.0
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 30)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
30 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $502.10Resistance $548.20

Price Targets

$492
$537
A.Upside-3.6%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.6% upside)
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LIN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $512.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $537.24 (+4.8%), stop $492.40 (−4.1%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LIN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $537.24 (-3.6% upside). Target $537.24 (+4.8%), stop $492.40 (−4.1%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $492.40.

What are the risks of investing in LIN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Expensive valuation.

Is LIN overvalued or undervalued?

Linde plc trades at a P/E of 33.5 (forward 26.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LIN?

29 analysts cover LIN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $549.

What does Linde plc do?Linde is the largest industrial gas company worldwide and is a major technological innovator in the industrial gases...

Linde is the largest industrial gas company worldwide and is a major technological innovator in the industrial gases industry. Its primary products in its industrial gases business are atmospheric gases (oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases) and process gases (hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, electronic gases, specialty gases, and acetylene).

Related stocks: PPG (PPG Industries, Inc.) · SHW (Sherwin-Williams Company (The)) · APD (Air Products and Chemicals, Inc) · ECL (Ecolab Inc.)
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