Skip to main content
KEXKirby CorporationSell5.3·$129.84-0.86%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak and a maximum Piotroski financial health score of 9 out of 9 reflect a well-run business, but the stock is range-bound near its analyst price target with only 1.9% upside remaining and a risk/reward ratio of 0.41 that does not favor new entry at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Near Target Thin Risk RewardStable
  • Maximum Financial Health ScoreStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kirby Corporation (KEX) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $129.84 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum.

Kirby Corporation is the nation's largest domestic tank barge operator, transporting petrochemicals, black oil, refined petroleum products, and agricultural chemicals via 1,105 inland tank barges and 28 coastal tank barges. KDS, its second segment, distributes and services... Read more

$129.84+11.5% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#15 of 19 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.11%
Stop $124.72Target $144.71(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$166.33+28.1%6 analysts
$144.71our TP
$129.84price
$166.33mean
$175

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $129.84 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.0
P/E (Fwd)15.7
Mkt Cap$6.9B
EV/EBITDA10.3
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE10.7%
Rev Growth7.4%
Beta0.83
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C4.00bearish
IV54%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductpetrochemical transportation48%
    10-K Item 1: 'The transportation of petrochemical products represented 48% of the segment's 2025 revenues.'
  • MEDIUMProductblack oil transportation26%
    10-K Item 1: 'Black oil ... Such products represented 26% of the segment's 2025 revenues.'
  • LOWProductrefined petroleum products transportation23%
    10-K Item 1: 'Refined petroleum products ... represented 23% of the segment's 2025 revenues.'
  • LOWSupplierMTU, Allison, and Daimler12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales and service of MTU, Allison, and Daimler products accounted for approximately 12% of the Company's revenues during 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-30Item 2.02LOW
    Kirby Corporation released Q1 2026 earnings results on April 30, 2026. Press release included EBITDA reconciliation and non-GAAP measures excluding one-time items.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.7
Rsi
8.2
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 27)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $128.58Resistance $146.11

Price Targets

$125
$145
A.Upside+11.5%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KEX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $129.84 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $124.72. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $144.71 (+11.5% upside). Prior stop was $124.72. Stop-loss: $124.72.

What are the risks of investing in KEX?

Negative momentum.

Is KEX overvalued or undervalued?

Kirby Corporation trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KEX?

10 analysts cover KEX with a consensus score of 4.5/5. Average price target: $166.

What does Kirby Corporation do?Kirby Corporation is the nation's largest domestic tank barge operator, transporting petrochemicals, black oil, refined...

Kirby Corporation is the nation's largest domestic tank barge operator, transporting petrochemicals, black oil, refined petroleum products, and agricultural chemicals via 1,105 inland tank barges and 28 coastal tank barges. KDS, its second segment, distributes and services engines, transmissions, and power generation equipment while manufacturing oilfield and electrical equipment for industrial customers.

Related stocks: NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · ECO (Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.) · HAFN (Hafnia Limited) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) · DAC (Danaos Corporation)
Home Stocks KEX

Latest news

Latest News

GuruFocus74d ago
MarketBeat82d agoAnalyst
Investing.com South Africa82d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance76d ago
Yahoo Finance90d ago
MarketBeat90d ago
MarketBeat90d ago
Yahoo Finance74d agoEarnings
GuruFocus87d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat88d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat84d ago
TradingKey73d ago
AD HOC NEWS87d ago
TradingKey87d ago
TradingKey87d ago
MarketBeat87d agoAnalyst
Benzinga66d ago
Benzinga67d agoAnalyst
Benzinga67d agoEarnings
Benzinga67d agoEarnings
Loading more...