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KBDCKayne Anderson BDC, Inc.Sell5.6·$13.59-0.66%
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Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. (KBDC) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.59: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. is business development company and an externally managed, closed-end, non-diversified management investment company that intends to elect to be regulated as a BDC under the 1940 Act. The fund seeks to make investments in middle-market companies. It also... Read more

$13.59+3.7% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#89 of 240 Asset Management
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield11.77%Payout125.00%at-risk
Stop $12.99Target $14.09(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$15.20+11.8%5 analysts
$14.09our TP
$13.59price
$15.20mean
$16

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.59: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-2.7% upside)
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.6
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$902M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
Dividend11.77%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.5
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.06Resistance $14.38

Price Targets

$13
$14
A.Upside+3.7%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KBDC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.59: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $12.99. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KBDC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.09 (+3.7% upside). Prior stop was $12.99. Stop-loss: $12.99.

What are the risks of investing in KBDC?

Target reached (-2.7% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is KBDC overvalued or undervalued?

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.6 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KBDC?

11 analysts cover KBDC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. do?Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. is business development company and an externally managed, closed-end, non-diversified...

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. is business development company and an externally managed, closed-end, non-diversified management investment company that intends to elect to be regulated as a BDC under the 1940 Act. The fund seeks to make investments in middle-market companies. It also makes debt investments in middle-market companies and investing primarily in first lien senior secured, unitranche, and split-lien loans to privately held middle-market companies. The fund considers between 80% and 90% of its portfolio (including investments purchased with proceeds from borrowings) will be invested in first lien senior secured, unitranche and split-lien term loans. The remaining 10% to 20% of its portfolio will be invested in higher-yielding investments, including, but not limited to, second lien loans, last-out or subordinated loans, non-investment grade broadly syndicated leveraged loans, high-yield bonds, structured products (including CLO liabilities), real estate related debt securities, equity securities purchased in conjunction with debt investments and other opportunistic investments.

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