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JKSJinkoSolar Holding Company LimiSell4.8·$15.16+2.43%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

JinkoSolar screens as deeply discounted with a PEG of 0.25 and 35.2% upside to the analyst target, but near-zero profitability across all margin and return metrics, a 12% revenue decline, and a confirmed death cross with a falling-knife technical classification make any investment case highly speculative pending demonstrated business stabilization.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Decline 12pct YoyStable
  • Near Zero Profitability Across MetricsStable
  • Distressed Valuation Peg Below HalfImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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JinkoSolar Holding Company Limi (JKS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Solar

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.16: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 4.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, production, and marketing of photovoltaic products. The company provides solar modules, silicon wafers, solar cells, recovered silicon materials, and silicon ingots. It offers solar... Read more

$15.16+45.5% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#6 of 9 Solar
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield10.14%Payout388.48%at-risk
Stop $14.34Target $22.14(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.2:1
Analyst target$25.44+67.8%7 analysts
$22.14our TP
$15.16price
$25.44mean
$33

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.16: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 4.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 27, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)19.8
Mkt Cap$775M
EV/EBITDA11.8
Profit Mgn-5.6%
ROE-19.2%
Rev Growth-11.5%
Beta0.48
Dividend10.14%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C1.67bearish
IV80%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -5.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
2.5
Current Ratio
4.8
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
7.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Erm
6.5
Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5INSIDER 4.30%=EXTREMEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.2 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.78Resistance $17.34

Price Targets

$14
$22
A.Upside+45.5%
A.R:R4.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 4.30%=extreme

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-27 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JKS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.16: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 4.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 45. Prior stop was $14.34. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JKS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.14 (+45.5% upside). Prior stop was $14.34. Stop-loss: $14.34.

What are the risks of investing in JKS?

Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0).

Is JKS overvalued or undervalued?

JinkoSolar Holding Company Limi trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JKS?

12 analysts cover JKS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $25.

What does JinkoSolar Holding Company Limi do?JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, production, and...

JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, production, and marketing of photovoltaic products. The company provides solar modules, silicon wafers, solar cells, recovered silicon materials, and silicon ingots. It offers solar system integration services; solar power generation and solar system EPC services; and energy storage system, as well as undertakes solar power projects. The company sells its products to distributors, project developers, system integrators, and manufacturers of solar power products under the JinkoSolar brand. As of December 31, 2025, it had an integrated annual capacity of 120 gigawatts (GW) for mono wafers; 95 GW for solar cells; and 130 GW for solar modules. It operates in China, the United States, India, Saudi Arabia, Australia, Pakistan, Brazil, Poland, Japan, Spain, and Germany. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Guangxin, the People's Republic of China.

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