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JBSSJohn B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.Sell5.3·$90.60+2.72%
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John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (JBSS) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $90.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.3% away).

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc., through its subsidiary, JBSS Ventures, LLC, processes and distributes tree nuts and peanuts in the United States. The company offers raw and processed nuts, including almonds, pecans, peanuts, black walnuts, English walnuts, cashews, macadamia... Read more

$90.60-1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#16 of 32 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.99%
IncomeYield0.99%(5y avg 0.95%)Payout15.76%sustainable
Stop $86.20Target $89.07(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$102.00+12.6%2 analysts
$89.07our TP
$90.60price
$102.00mean
$109

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $90.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.3% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-05T09:50:25Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 19, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.3% away)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.8
P/E (Fwd)19.0
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn5.8%
ROE18.3%
Rev Growth8.0%
Beta0.32
Dividend0.99%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV50%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.5

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.1
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
80 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $74.24Resistance $90.89

Price Targets

$86
$89
A.Upside-1.7%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-19 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBSS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $90.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.3% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $86.20. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JBSS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $89.07 (-1.7% upside). Prior stop was $86.20. Stop-loss: $86.20.

What are the risks of investing in JBSS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.3% away); Weak growth.

Is JBSS overvalued or undervalued?

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.8 (forward 19.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JBSS?

7 analysts cover JBSS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $102.

What does John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. do?John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc., through its subsidiary, JBSS Ventures, LLC, processes and distributes tree nuts and...

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc., through its subsidiary, JBSS Ventures, LLC, processes and distributes tree nuts and peanuts in the United States. The company offers raw and processed nuts, including almonds, pecans, peanuts, black walnuts, English walnuts, cashews, macadamia nuts, pistachios, pine nuts, Brazil nuts, and filberts in various styles and seasonings; and bar product line, including chewy granola, fruit and grain, sweet and salty, dipped chewy granola, crunchy, energy, fiber, and nut bars. It also offers peanut butter in various sizes and varieties; salad toppings, dried fruit, and chocolate and yogurt coated products; recipe ingredients; bulk food products; sunflower kernels, pepitas, snack mixes, almond and cashew butter, candy and confections, corn snacks, chickpea snacks, sesame sticks, and other sesame snack and baked cheese snack products; and various toppings for ice cream and yogurt. In addition, the company operates a retail store. The company provides its products under the Fisher, Orchard Valley Harvest, Squirrel Brand, Southern Style Nuts, and Just the Cheese brands as well as under various private brands. It serves retailers and wholesalers, and commercial ingredient and contract packaging customers through a network of independent brokers, distributors, and suppliers. John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in Elgin, Illinois.

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