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INGING Group, N.V.Hold5.6·$37.09+0.00%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Four consecutive earnings beats averaging roughly 9.5% above consensus reflect disciplined execution, yet the stock has essentially reached its near-term resistance target with a risk/reward of only 0.26-to-1 and 1.1% headroom remaining—leaving little case for adding capital at current prices despite solid financial health.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceStable
  • Unfavorable Risk Reward At TargetStable
  • Technical Accumulation Above TrendImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ING Group, N.V. (ING) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.0% away).

ING Groep N.V. provides various banking products and services in the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Retail Netherlands, Retail Belgium, Retail Germany, Retail Other, and Wholesale Banking. It... Read more

$37.09-22.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#16 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.63%(5y avg 5.70%)Payout46.89%sustainable
Stop $36.13Target $42.65(default +15%)A.R:R -3.2:1
Analyst target$33.83-8.8%3 analysts
$42.65our TP
$37.09price
$33.83mean
$29
$43

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.0% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.5
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$105.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn34.5%
ROE17.1%
Rev Growth11.1%
Beta0.90
Dividend3.63%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.84neutral
IV31%normal
Max Pain$33-11.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -3.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $34.50Resistance $37.15

Price Targets

$36
$43
A.Upside-22.5%
A.R:R-3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-22.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ING stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $42.65 (+15.0%), stop $36.13 (−2.7%), A.R:R -3.2:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ING stock price target?

Take-profit target: $42.65 (-22.5% upside). Target $42.65 (+15.0%), stop $36.13 (−2.7%), A.R:R -3.2:1. Stop-loss: $36.13.

What are the risks of investing in ING?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.0% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is ING overvalued or undervalued?

ING Group, N.V. trades at a P/E of 13.5 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ING?

28 analysts cover ING with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $34.

What does ING Group, N.V. do?ING Groep N.V. provides various banking products and services in the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, rest of Europe, and...

ING Groep N.V. provides various banking products and services in the Netherlands, Belgium, Germany, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Retail Netherlands, Retail Belgium, Retail Germany, Retail Other, and Wholesale Banking. It accepts current and savings accounts; and time deposits. The company also offers business lending products; SME loans; consumer lending products, such as residential mortgage loans and other consumer lending loans; and mortgages. In addition, it provides working capital solutions; debt and equity market solutions; various loans; payments; and cash management, trade and corporate finance, and treasury services, as well as savings, investment, insurance, and digital banking services. The company serves individual customers, corporate clients, and financial institutions. ING Groep N.V. was founded in 1762 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Related stocks: MUFG (Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group,) · BCS (Barclays PLC) · SMFG (Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group) · C (Citigroup, Inc.) · BAC (Bank of America Corporation)
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