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IIINInsteel Industries, Inc.Sell4.6·$30.88+1.78%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Insteel Industries shows a confirmed technical downtrend, a quality score below the engine's floor on weak earnings quality, and an unfavorable risk/reward setup ahead of its July 16, 2026 earnings report.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Quality Red FlagStable
  • Confirmed Technical DowntrendDeteriorating
  • Elevated Options Risk Near EarningsDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Insteel Industries, Inc. (IIIN) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.88: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Insteel Industries Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets steel wire reinforcing products for concrete construction applications. The company offers prestressed concrete strand (PC strand) and welded wire reinforcement (WWR) products. Its PC strand, a... Read more

$30.88+7.4% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#11 of 11 Metal Fabrication
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-2.98%
IncomeYield0.40%(5y avg 0.37%)Payout6.42%sustainable
Stop $29.28Target $33.15(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$39.00+26.3%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.88: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 35, MACD bearish. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-03

Recent Developments — Insteel Industries, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Aug 21, 2026 MEDIUM Item 2.05: . Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities** The information set forth under Item 8.01 below is hereby incorporated into this Item 2.05 by reference. **Item 8.01. Other Events** On August 21, 2026, Insteel Industries Inc.

Generated 2026-09-03T17:17:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 15, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.1
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$587M
EV/EBITDA8.8
Profit Mgn5.1%
ROE10.0%
Rev Growth9.9%
Beta0.50
Dividend0.40%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.02bullish
IV80%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-21Item 2.05MEDIUM
    . Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities** The information set forth under Item 8.01 below is hereby incorporated into this Item 2.05 by reference. **Item 8.01. Other Events** On August 21, 2026, Insteel Industries Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.3
Ma Position
2.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
2.3
Net Margin
2.6
Roe
3.3
Roa
4.1
Moat
5.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.4
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -48% FCF/NI

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)8K SERIOUS 2.05Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $29.56Resistance $33.13

Price Targets

$29
$33
A.Upside+7.4%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-15 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IIIN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.88: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 35, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $29.28. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IIIN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.15 (+7.4% upside). Prior stop was $29.28. Stop-loss: $29.28.

What are the risks of investing in IIIN?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is IIIN overvalued or undervalued?

Insteel Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.1 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IIIN?

6 analysts cover IIIN with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Insteel Industries, Inc. do?Insteel Industries Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets steel wire reinforcing products for...

Insteel Industries Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets steel wire reinforcing products for concrete construction applications. The company offers prestressed concrete strand (PC strand) and welded wire reinforcement (WWR) products. Its PC strand, a seven-wire strand that is used to impart compression forces into precast concrete elements and structures providing reinforcement for bridges, parking decks, buildings, and other concrete structures. The company's WWR engineered reinforcing product is used in nonresidential and residential construction. It produces a range of WWR products, such as engineered structural mesh, an engineered made-to-order product that is used as the primary reinforcement for concrete elements or structures serving as a reinforcing solution for hot-rolled rebar; concrete pipe reinforcement, an engineered made-to-order product, which is used as the primary reinforcement in concrete pipe, box culverts, and precast manholes for drainage and sewage systems, water treatment facilities, and other related applications; and standard welded wire reinforcement, a secondary reinforcing product for crack control applications in residential and light nonresidential construction, including driveways, sidewalks, and various slab-on-grade applications. It sells its products through sales representatives to the manufacturers of concrete products, rebar fabricators, distributors, and contractors. Insteel Industries Inc. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Mount Airy, North Carolina.

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