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HWCHancock Whitney CorporationHold5.7·$76.20+0.69%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Hancock Whitney's forward multiple of 9.9x looks attractive, but a 40% earnings miss in the most recent quarter, a 21% revenue decline, and real estate loan concentration risk combine with just 0.7% upside to target to make this an unattractive entry at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Real Estate Loan ConcentrationImproving
  • Minimal Upside At ResistanceImproving
  • Recent Earnings UnderperformanceImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Hancock Whitney Corporation (HWC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $76.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate secured loans; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Hancock Whitney Bank operates 180 locations across a Gulf South footprint (MS, LA, AL, FL, TX, TN, GA) with $35.5 billion in total assets, $24.0 billion in loans, and $29.3 billion in deposits at December 31, 2025. Revenue is primarily from net interest income on commercial,... Read more

$76.20-4.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#157 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.51%(5y avg 2.59%)Payout37.25%sustainable
Stop $73.18Target $77.77(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$83.60+9.7%10 analysts
$77.77our TP
$76.20price
$83.60mean
$74
$91

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $76.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate secured loans; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 13, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate secured loans
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.0% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.8
P/E (Fwd)10.5
Mkt Cap$6.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn30.3%
ROE9.7%
Rev Growth7.8%
Beta0.96
Dividend2.51%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV47%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicGulf South region
    10-K Item 1A: 'Unfavorable economic conditions, particularly in the Gulf South region, could significantly affect the demand for our loans'
  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate secured loans
    10-K Item 1A: 'A substantial portion of our loan portfolio is secured by real estate.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
3.1
Quality Rank
4.0
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $73.03Resistance $79.36

Price Targets

$73
$78
A.Upside-4.6%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.6% upside)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-13 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HWC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $76.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate secured loans; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $77.77 (+2.1%), stop $73.18 (−4.1%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HWC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $77.77 (-4.6% upside). Target $77.77 (+2.1%), stop $73.18 (−4.1%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $73.18.

What are the risks of investing in HWC?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate secured loans; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away).

Is HWC overvalued or undervalued?

Hancock Whitney Corporation trades at a P/E of 14.8 (forward 10.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HWC?

14 analysts cover HWC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $84.

What does Hancock Whitney Corporation do?Hancock Whitney Bank operates 180 locations across a Gulf South footprint (MS, LA, AL, FL, TX, TN, GA) with $35.5...

Hancock Whitney Bank operates 180 locations across a Gulf South footprint (MS, LA, AL, FL, TX, TN, GA) with $35.5 billion in total assets, $24.0 billion in loans, and $29.3 billion in deposits at December 31, 2025. Revenue is primarily from net interest income on commercial, consumer, and real estate loans, plus $39.7 billion in trust/wealth assets under administration.

Related stocks: BHB (Bar Harbor Bankshares, Inc.) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation) · NBN (Northeast Bank) · FCBC (First Community Bankshares, Inc) · NBBK (NB Bancorp, Inc.)
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