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Hancock Whitney Corporation (HWC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.44 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum.

Hancock Whitney Corporation is a Gulf South regional bank holding company operating 180 banking locations across MS, AL, LA, FL, TX, TN, and GA with $35.5B total assets, $24B loans, and $29.3B deposits. Revenue comes primarily from net interest income, trust/investment... Read more

$67.44+0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#131 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $64.18Target $67.53(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$77.63+15.1%8 analysts
$67.53our TP
$67.44price
$77.63mean
$81

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.44 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-20.9% YoY), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.09% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.7
P/E (Fwd)9.7
Mkt Cap$5.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn29.9%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth-20.9%
Beta1.03
Dividend2.78%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$80+18.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicGulf South region
    10-K Item 1A: 'Unfavorable economic conditions, particularly in the Gulf South region, could significantly affect the demand for our loans and other products'
  • MEDIUMTenantcommercial and residential real estate
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our loan portfolio contains several industry, collateral and other concentrations including, but not limited to, commercial and residential real estate, healthcare, hospitality'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.1
Value Rank
3.5
Quality Rank
4.1

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.8
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $62.16Resistance $70.19

Price Targets

$64
$68
A.Upside+0.1%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.1% upside)
! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-14 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HWC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.44 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $64.18. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HWC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $67.53 (+0.1% upside). Prior stop was $64.18. Stop-loss: $64.18.

What are the risks of investing in HWC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-20.9% YoY), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.09% of cap).

Is HWC overvalued or undervalued?

Hancock Whitney Corporation trades at a P/E of 13.7 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HWC?

13 analysts cover HWC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $78.

What does Hancock Whitney Corporation do?Hancock Whitney Corporation is a Gulf South regional bank holding company operating 180 banking locations across MS,...

Hancock Whitney Corporation is a Gulf South regional bank holding company operating 180 banking locations across MS, AL, LA, FL, TX, TN, and GA with $35.5B total assets, $24B loans, and $29.3B deposits. Revenue comes primarily from net interest income, trust/investment management fees, and mortgage origination.

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