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HWCHancock Whitney CorporationSell5.4·$71.00-0.27%
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Hancock Whitney Corporation (HWC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate secured loans.

Hancock Whitney Bank operates 180 locations across a Gulf South footprint (MS, LA, AL, FL, TX, TN, GA) with $35.5 billion in total assets, $24.0 billion in loans, and $29.3 billion in deposits at December 31, 2025. Revenue is primarily from net interest income on commercial,... Read more

$71.00+1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#121 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.67%(5y avg 2.59%)Payout38.07%sustainable
Stop $67.80Target $71.69(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$78.22+10.2%9 analysts
$71.69our TP
$71.00price
$78.22mean
$86

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate secured loans. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 14, 202628d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate secured loans
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.6
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$5.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn29.9%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth-21.1%
Beta0.98
Dividend2.67%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$75+5.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicGulf South region
    10-K Item 1A: 'Unfavorable economic conditions, particularly in the Gulf South region, could significantly affect the demand for our loans'
  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate secured loans
    10-K Item 1A: 'A substantial portion of our loan portfolio is secured by real estate.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.1
Value Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
4.0
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $64.11Resistance $73.15

Price Targets

$68
$72
A.Upside+1.0%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-14 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HWC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate secured loans. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $67.80. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HWC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $71.69 (+1.0% upside). Prior stop was $67.80. Stop-loss: $67.80.

What are the risks of investing in HWC?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate secured loans; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is HWC overvalued or undervalued?

Hancock Whitney Corporation trades at a P/E of 14.6 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HWC?

13 analysts cover HWC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $78.

What does Hancock Whitney Corporation do?Hancock Whitney Bank operates 180 locations across a Gulf South footprint (MS, LA, AL, FL, TX, TN, GA) with $35.5...

Hancock Whitney Bank operates 180 locations across a Gulf South footprint (MS, LA, AL, FL, TX, TN, GA) with $35.5 billion in total assets, $24.0 billion in loans, and $29.3 billion in deposits at December 31, 2025. Revenue is primarily from net interest income on commercial, consumer, and real estate loans, plus $39.7 billion in trust/wealth assets under administration.

Related stocks: CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation) · PNFP (Pinnacle Financial Partners, In) · INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.)
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