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HSTHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc.Buy Wait5.5·$22.90+0.66%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Host Hotels' four-quarter earnings beat streak with triple-digit surprises is exceptional, but the stock now trades above its near-term price target and a 64% revenue concentration with a single operating partner constrains the risk profile — patience for a better entry is warranted.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margin ProfileImproving
  • Exceptional Earnings CadenceDeteriorating
  • Concentrated Counterparty RiskDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitValueQualityModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Wait for pullback to $19.59. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $22.90. Engine's entry $19.59 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Host Hotels & Resorts is the largest publicly traded lodging REIT, owning 76 primarily luxury and upper-upscale hotels with approximately 41,700 rooms, substantially all in the United States as of February 2026. Revenue flows from hotel operations managed by third parties under... Read more

$22.90-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#4 of 12 REIT - Hotel & Motel
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield10.71%
IncomeYield3.51%(5y avg 4.49%)Payout53.69%
Entry $19.59(support + ATR (held))Stop $18.26Target $25.20(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$25.12+9.7%20 analysts
$25.20our TP
$22.90price
$25.12mean
$21
$29

Wait for pullback to $19.59. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $22.90. Engine's entry $19.59 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.4
P/E (Fwd)21.7
Mkt Cap$15.8B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn16.5%
ROE15.6%
Rev Growth3.6%
Beta1.12
Dividend3.51%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.81neutral
IV137%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyMarriott International64%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 64% of our hotels (as measured by 2025 hotel revenues) are managed or franchised by Marriott International'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 29)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.4
Earnings Growth
3.7
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.28Resistance $25.71

Price Targets

$18
$20
$25
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.3% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HST stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $19.59. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $22.90. Engine's entry $19.59 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $25.20 (+10.0%), stop $18.26 (−25.4%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.20 (-1.3% upside). Target $25.20 (+10.0%), stop $18.26 (−25.4%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $18.26.

What are the risks of investing in HST?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is HST overvalued or undervalued?

Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.4 (forward 21.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about HST?

25 analysts cover HST with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. do?Host Hotels & Resorts is the largest publicly traded lodging REIT, owning 76 primarily luxury and upper-upscale hotels...

Host Hotels & Resorts is the largest publicly traded lodging REIT, owning 76 primarily luxury and upper-upscale hotels with approximately 41,700 rooms, substantially all in the United States as of February 2026. Revenue flows from hotel operations managed by third parties under long-term agreements, with Marriott managing approximately 64% of hotels by 2025 revenues.

Related stocks: RHP (Ryman Hospitality Properties, I) · DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) · SHO (Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. ) · APLE (Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.) · RLJ (RLJ Lodging Trust)
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