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HSTHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc.Hold6.3·$24.50+2.25%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Host Hotels' four-quarter earnings beat streak with triple-digit surprises is exceptional, but the stock now trades above its near-term price target and a 64% revenue concentration with a single operating partner constrains the risk profile — patience for a better entry is warranted.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margin ProfileStable
  • Exceptional Earnings CadenceStable
  • Concentrated Counterparty RiskDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HST) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Host Hotels & Resorts is the largest publicly traded lodging REIT, owning 76 primarily luxury and upper-upscale hotels with approximately 41,700 rooms, substantially all in the United States as of February 2026. Revenue flows from hotel operations managed by third parties under... Read more

$24.50-9.1% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 12 REIT - Hotel & Motel
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.01%
IncomeYield3.34%(5y avg 4.49%)Payout54.42%
Entry $22.62(R/R-minimum solve)Stop $21.54Target $24.24(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$24.75+1.0%20 analysts
$24.24our TP
$24.50price
$24.75mean
$21
$28

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $24.50 has reached target $24.24. No upside to wait for. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, news boost analyst cluster(3), semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.3
P/E (Fwd)24.1
Mkt Cap$17.0B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn16.4%
ROE14.9%
Rev Growth2.8%
Beta1.12
Dividend3.34%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV58%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyMarriott International64%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 64% of our hotels (as measured by 2025 hotel revenues) are managed or franchised by Marriott International'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.9
Support Resistance
1.1
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(3)SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.64Resistance $24.73

Price Targets

$22
$23
$24
A.Upside-9.1%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HST stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $24.50 has reached target $24.24. No upside to wait for. Target $24.24 (-1.1%), stop $21.54 (−13.7%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.24 (-9.1% upside). Target $24.24 (-1.1%), stop $21.54 (−13.7%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $21.54.

What are the risks of investing in HST?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott International (64.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.6% away).

Is HST overvalued or undervalued?

Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.3 (forward 24.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HST?

25 analysts cover HST with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. do?Host Hotels & Resorts is the largest publicly traded lodging REIT, owning 76 primarily luxury and upper-upscale hotels...

Host Hotels & Resorts is the largest publicly traded lodging REIT, owning 76 primarily luxury and upper-upscale hotels with approximately 41,700 rooms, substantially all in the United States as of February 2026. Revenue flows from hotel operations managed by third parties under long-term agreements, with Marriott managing approximately 64% of hotels by 2025 revenues.

Related stocks: DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) · RHP (Ryman Hospitality Properties, I) · SHO (Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. ) · XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · RLJ (RLJ Lodging Trust)
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