RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the RLJ stock price target?

Take-profit $8.19 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $7.91.

Q: What are the risks of investing in RLJ?

Target reached (-11.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-81.9% YoY), Negative free cash flow; Target reached (-11.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Q: Is RLJ overvalued or undervalued?

RLJ Lodging Trust trades at a P/E of 827.0 (forward -112.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about RLJ?

19 analysts cover RLJ with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $8.

Q: What does RLJ Lodging Trust do?

RLJ Lodging Trust is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust that owns primarily premium-branded, high-margin, focused-service and compact full-service hotels. RLJ Lodging Trust was incorporated in 2011 in Maryland, USA.

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.31: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality.

RLJ Lodging Trust is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust that owns primarily premium-branded, high-margin, focused-service and compact full-service hotels. RLJ Lodging Trust was incorporated in 2011 in Maryland, USA.

$8.31-1.5% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#7 of 9 REIT - Hotel & Motel

Stop $7.91Target $8.19(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1

Analyst target$8.43+1.5%11 analysts

$8.19our TP

$8.31price

$8.43mean

$12

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-11.8% upside)

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-81.9% YoY), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)827.0

P/E (Fwd)-112.8

Mkt Cap$1.3B

EV/EBITDA11.1

Profit Mgn2.1%

ROE1.3%

Rev Growth-0.4%

Beta1.09

Dividend7.26%

Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish

IV60%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.115%0.76

Quality3.215%0.48

Growth2.415%0.36

Momentum6.210%0.62

Sentiment5.110%0.51

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.410%0.44

Technical Setup4.05%0.20

Risk Profile5.75%0.29

Catalyst7.75%0.39

Overall (Σ contributions)4.54

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -0.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth

2.4

Declining revenue: -0%

Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe

0.4

Roa

1.1

Net Margin

1.1

Gross Margin

1.3

Current Ratio

1.8

Operating Margin

3.5

Piotroski F

4.4

Moat

5.0

Fcf Quality

10.0

Excellent cash conversion: 682% FCF/NINo competitive moat

GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

66 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.14Resistance $8.36

Price Targets

A.Upside-1.4%

A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.8% upside)

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-81.9% YoY), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-04 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is RLJ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.31: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $7.91. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RLJ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.19 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $7.91. Stop-loss: $7.91.

What are the risks of investing in RLJ?

Target reached (-11.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-81.9% YoY), Negative free cash flow.

Is RLJ overvalued or undervalued?

RLJ Lodging Trust trades at a P/E of 827.0 (forward -112.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RLJ?

19 analysts cover RLJ with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $8.

What does RLJ Lodging Trust do?RLJ Lodging Trust is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust that owns primarily premium-branded,...