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RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.15: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality.

RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust. It owns 92 premium-branded, rooms-oriented, high-margin, urban-centric hotels located within the heart of demand locations. Our hotels are geographically diverse and concentrated in major... Read more

$9.15-0.9% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#8 of 9 REIT - Hotel & Motel
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield14.08%
IncomeYield6.56%(5y avg 3.42%)Payout6000.00%
Stop $8.61Target $9.07(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$8.52-6.9%11 analysts
$9.07our TP
$9.15price
$8.52mean
$6
$12

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.15: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — RLJ Lodging Trust

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-19.0% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-161.5
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE1.1%
Rev Growth3.6%
Beta1.10
Dividend6.56%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.4
Net Margin
0.9
Roa
1.1
Gross Margin
1.4
Current Ratio
2.8
Operating Margin
3.3
Moat
3.8
Piotroski F
5.6
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 787% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.4
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.85Resistance $9.26

Price Targets

$9
$9
A.Upside-0.9%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RLJ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.15: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $8.61. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RLJ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.07 (-0.9% upside). Prior stop was $8.61. Stop-loss: $8.61.

What are the risks of investing in RLJ?

Target reached (-19.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is RLJ overvalued or undervalued?

RLJ Lodging Trust trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -161.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RLJ?

19 analysts cover RLJ with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $9.

What does RLJ Lodging Trust do?RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust. It owns 92 premium-branded,...

RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust. It owns 92 premium-branded, rooms-oriented, high-margin, urban-centric hotels located within the heart of demand locations. Our hotels are geographically diverse and concentrated in major urban markets that provide multiple demand generators from business, leisure, and other travelers. RLJ Lodging Trust was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Bethesda, United States.

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