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SHOSunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. Sell5.3·$11.81+0.25%
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Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. (SHO) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.81 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.3% away).

Sunstone Hotel Investors is a lodging REIT owning 14 upper upscale and luxury hotels (6,999 rooms) across 7 states and Washington, DC, operated by third-party managers including Marriott (6 hotels), Hyatt (3 hotels), and Four Seasons, Hilton, Montage, and Sage. Revenue is earned... Read more

$11.81-1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#5 of 9 REIT - Hotel & Motel
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield7.88%
IncomeYield3.06%(5y avg 5.84%)Payout327.27%
Stop $11.37Target $11.65(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$10.83-8.3%12 analysts
$11.65our TP
$11.81price
$10.83mean
$9
$13

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.81 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.3% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc.

About Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc.

Sunstone Hotel Investors concentrated 44% of 2025 consolidated hotel revenue in California — Northern California generated 22% and Southern California 22% — across five properties out of a 14-hotel portfolio totaling 6,999 rooms. Hawaii contributed 14% of revenue, Florida 13%, and Washington, DC 10%, with all holdings in convention, urban, and resort destinations. Total cash stood at $185.7 million, including $76.5 million of restricted cash, with a $500.0 million credit facility fully undrawn at December 31, 2025.

Hotel revenue flows through long-term management agreements between the company's TRS Lessee and six third-party operators: Marriott manages six hotels, Hyatt manages three, with Four Seasons, Hilton, Montage, and Sage or Singh Hospitality each managing one property. Leases to the TRS Lessee provide a base rent plus variable rent tied to occupied rooms and departmental gross revenues. The Bidwell Marriott Portland operated under a franchise agreement that Sunstone Hotel Investors extended in June 2025 through October 2026 under a one-year renewal. The capital structure carried a weighted average interest rate of 5.0% on total outstanding debt at December 31, 2025, including the effect of interest rate swap derivatives, blending fixed and variable rate instruments. Only 37 direct corporate employees support the portfolio; all hotel-level labor is engaged by the third-party managers.

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California's combined 44% revenue share — split between 3 Northern California hotels and 2 Southern California hotels — concentrates operating risk in markets exposed to entertainment, high-technology, and financial-sector downturns that the 10-K identifies as more volatile than other U.S. regions. The Hilton San Diego Bayfront in Southern California is subject to a ground lease with an unaffiliated party; the 10-K notes termination for any reason could eliminate the hotel from the portfolio entirely. Northern California and Hawaii hotels carry seismic, wildfire, and hurricane exposure, with deductibles typically higher than standard coverage for these perils.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

From Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. 's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.3% away)
Overbought (RSI 83)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)107.1
P/E (Fwd)60.4
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA14.8
Profit Mgn3.8%
ROE1.9%
Rev Growth11.0%
Beta0.99
Dividend3.06%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$18+48.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia
    10-K Item 1A: 'The concentration of our hotels in California, Florida, Hawaii, and Washington, DC exposes our business to economic conditions'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyMarriott
    10-K Item 1: 'subsidiaries of Marriott International, Inc. or Marriott Hotel Services, Inc. ... managers of six of our hotels'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Director or principal officer departure or appointment in connection with restructuring by Sunstone Hotel Investors; effective May 1, 2026. Body truncated — specific role, departure reason, and successor details unavailable from provided filing text.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.2
Bollinger
1.3
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
83 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.23Resistance $11.89

Price Targets

$11
$12
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-20.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SHO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.81 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.3% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $11.37. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SHO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.65 (-1.7% upside). Prior stop was $11.37. Stop-loss: $11.37.

What are the risks of investing in SHO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.3% away); Overbought (RSI 83).

Is SHO overvalued or undervalued?

Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. trades at a P/E of 107.1 (forward 60.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SHO?

16 analysts cover SHO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. do?Sunstone Hotel Investors is a lodging REIT owning 14 upper upscale and luxury hotels (6,999 rooms) across 7 states and...

Sunstone Hotel Investors is a lodging REIT owning 14 upper upscale and luxury hotels (6,999 rooms) across 7 states and Washington, DC, operated by third-party managers including Marriott (6 hotels), Hyatt (3 hotels), and Four Seasons, Hilton, Montage, and Sage. Revenue is earned through hotel leases to its TRS Lessee, with only 37 direct corporate employees at year-end 2025.

Related stocks: HST (Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · RHP (Ryman Hospitality Properties, I) · XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) · RLJ (RLJ Lodging Trust)
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