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HOPEHope Bancorp, Inc.Hold6.6·$14.45-0.34%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The bank trades at a forward earnings multiple of approximately 8 times and a PEG ratio of 0.23, and has posted back-to-back beats in its two most recent quarters after two prior misses — but with the stock having reached its resistance-based target at current prices and zero remaining upside in the near-term geometry, the setup offers no margin of safety for new buyers.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Low PegStable
  • Momentum Breakout Golden CrossDeteriorating
  • Earnings Improvement After Prior MissesStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Hope Bancorp, Inc. (HOPE) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Hope Bancorp, Inc. is the Los Angeles-based holding company for Bank of Hope, a multi-ethnic community bank operating 74 branches across California, Hawaii, New York, New Jersey, Washington, Illinois, Texas, Alabama and Georgia, plus a representative office in Seoul, South... Read more

$14.45-8.8% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#41 of 224 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.91%(5y avg 4.78%)Payout55.45%sustainable
Stop $13.95Target $16.62(default +15%)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$15.50+7.3%4 analysts
$16.62our TP
$14.45price
$15.50mean
$17

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202673d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.3% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.2
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn23.9%
ROE5.7%
Rev Growth71.0%
Beta0.81
Dividend3.91%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV80%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans58%
    10-K Item 1A: 'As of December 31, 2025, approximately 58% of our loan portfolio consisted of loans secured by various types of commercial real estate (excluding 1-4 family residential mortgage loans).'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSouthern California
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our operations are concentrated in Southern California, which is an earthquake and fire prone region.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 73d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.04Resistance $14.59

Price Targets

$14
$17
A.Upside-8.8%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (73d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HOPE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $16.62 (+15.0%), stop $13.95 (−3.6%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HOPE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.62 (-8.8% upside). Target $16.62 (+15.0%), stop $13.95 (−3.6%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $13.95.

What are the risks of investing in HOPE?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.3% away).

Is HOPE overvalued or undervalued?

Hope Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.2 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HOPE?

10 analysts cover HOPE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Hope Bancorp, Inc. do?Hope Bancorp, Inc. is the Los Angeles-based holding company for Bank of Hope, a multi-ethnic community bank operating...

Hope Bancorp, Inc. is the Los Angeles-based holding company for Bank of Hope, a multi-ethnic community bank operating 74 branches across California, Hawaii, New York, New Jersey, Washington, Illinois, Texas, Alabama and Georgia, plus a representative office in Seoul, South Korea. Commercial real estate loans made up approximately 58% of the bank's loan portfolio at year-end 2025, and operations remain significantly concentrated in earthquake- and fire-prone Southern California. On April 2, 2025, Hope completed its merger with Territorial Bancorp, adding a Hawaii thrift franchise now operating

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