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HOPEHope Bancorp, Inc.Buy Wait5.9·$13.45+0.07%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The bank trades at a forward earnings multiple of approximately 8 times and a PEG ratio of 0.23, and has posted back-to-back beats in its two most recent quarters after two prior misses — but with the stock having reached its resistance-based target at current prices and zero remaining upside in the near-term geometry, the setup offers no margin of safety for new buyers.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Low PegImproving
  • Momentum Breakout Golden CrossDeteriorating
  • Earnings Improvement After Prior MissesStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Hope Bancorp, Inc. (HOPE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Earnings in 1 day (2026-07-27). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $12.59. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $13.45. Engine's entry $12.59 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Hope Bancorp, Inc. is the Los Angeles-based holding company for Bank of Hope, a multi-ethnic community bank operating 74 branches across California, Hawaii, New York, New Jersey, Washington, Illinois, Texas, Alabama and Georgia, plus a representative office in Seoul, South... Read more

$13.45-9.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#136 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.17%(5y avg 4.78%)Payout101.82%at-risk
Entry $12.59(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $12.01Target $13.77(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$14.38+6.9%4 analysts
$13.77our TP
$13.45price
$14.38mean
$15

Wait for pullback to $12.59. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $13.45. Engine's entry $12.59 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.3% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.5
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn14.7%
ROE3.2%
Rev Growth18.4%
Beta0.81
Dividend4.17%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV129%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans58%
    10-K Item 1A: 'As of December 31, 2025, approximately 58% of our loan portfolio consisted of loans secured by various types of commercial real estate (excluding 1-4 family residential mortgage loans).'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSouthern California
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our operations are concentrated in Southern California, which is an earthquake and fire prone region.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
2.0
Dividend Safety
2.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 1 daysDividend: 4.2%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
2.6
Macd
3.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.5
Value Rank
3.4
Growth Rank
6.6
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.00Resistance $14.05

Price Targets

$12
$13
$14
A.Upside-9.2%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.2% upside)
! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HOPE stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $12.59. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $13.45. Engine's entry $12.59 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $13.77 (+2.4%), stop $12.01 (−12.0%), A.R:R -1.8:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HOPE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.77 (-9.2% upside). Target $13.77 (+2.4%), stop $12.01 (−12.0%), A.R:R -1.8:1. Stop-loss: $12.01.

What are the risks of investing in HOPE?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.3% away).

Is HOPE overvalued or undervalued?

Hope Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.5 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about HOPE?

10 analysts cover HOPE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Hope Bancorp, Inc. do?Hope Bancorp, Inc. is the Los Angeles-based holding company for Bank of Hope, a multi-ethnic community bank operating...

Hope Bancorp, Inc. is the Los Angeles-based holding company for Bank of Hope, a multi-ethnic community bank operating 74 branches across California, Hawaii, New York, New Jersey, Washington, Illinois, Texas, Alabama and Georgia, plus a representative office in Seoul, South Korea. Commercial real estate loans made up approximately 58% of the bank's loan portfolio at year-end 2025, and operations remain significantly concentrated in earthquake- and fire-prone Southern California. On April 2, 2025, Hope completed its merger with Territorial Bancorp, adding a Hawaii thrift franchise now operating

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