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HOPEHope Bancorp, Inc.Hold5.8·$13.11
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The bank trades at a forward earnings multiple of approximately 8 times and a PEG ratio of 0.23, and has posted back-to-back beats in its two most recent quarters after two prior misses — but with the stock having reached its resistance-based target at current prices and zero remaining upside in the near-term geometry, the setup offers no margin of safety for new buyers.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Low Peg↑Improving
  • Momentum Breakout Golden Cross↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Improvement After Prior Misses↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Hope Bancorp, Inc. (HOPE) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Hope Bancorp, Inc. is the Los Angeles-based holding company for Bank of Hope, a multi-ethnic community bank operating 74 branches across California, Hawaii, New York, New Jersey, Washington, Illinois, Texas, Alabama and Georgia, plus a representative office in Seoul, South... Read more

$13.11+0.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#129 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield4.27%(5y avg 4.64%)Payout54.37%sustainable
Stop $12.64Analyst target $13.17(−15% haircut)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst consensus$15.50+18.2%4 analysts with price targets
$13.17Analyst target
$13.11price
$15.50mean
$16

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 27, 2026

Recent Developments — Hope Bancorp, Inc.

Latest news

Latest item Oct 27, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:44:35Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jan 26, 202782d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.4
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn24.1%
ROE5.9%
Rev Growth12.4%
Beta0.87
Dividend4.27%
Analysts with ratings11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.03bullish
IV65%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans58%
    10-K Item 1A: 'As of December 31, 2025, approximately 58% of our loan portfolio consisted of loans secured by various types of commercial real estate (excluding 1-4 family residential mortgage loans).'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSouthern California
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our operations are concentrated in Southern California, which is an earthquake and fire prone region.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
3.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.6
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.03Resistance $14.28

Price Targets

$13
$13
A.Upside+0.5%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.5% upside)
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-26 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HOPE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $13.17 (+0.5%), stop $12.64 (−3.7%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HOPE stock price target?

Analyst target: $13.17 (+0.5% upside). Analyst target $13.17 (+0.5%), stop $12.64 (−3.7%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $12.64.

What are the risks of investing in HOPE?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).

Is HOPE overvalued or undervalued?

Hope Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.4 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HOPE?

11 analysts rate HOPE, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $16.

What does Hope Bancorp, Inc. do?Hope Bancorp, Inc. is the Los Angeles-based holding company for Bank of Hope, a multi-ethnic community bank operating...

Hope Bancorp, Inc. is the Los Angeles-based holding company for Bank of Hope, a multi-ethnic community bank operating 74 branches across California, Hawaii, New York, New Jersey, Washington, Illinois, Texas, Alabama and Georgia, plus a representative office in Seoul, South Korea. Commercial real estate loans made up approximately 58% of the bank's loan portfolio at year-end 2025, and operations remain significantly concentrated in earthquake- and fire-prone Southern California. On April 2, 2025, Hope completed its merger with Territorial Bancorp, adding a Hawaii thrift franchise now operating

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