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HOPEHope Bancorp, Inc.Hold6.4·$13.20
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The bank trades at a forward earnings multiple of approximately 8 times and a PEG ratio of 0.23, and has posted back-to-back beats in its two most recent quarters after two prior misses — but with the stock having reached its resistance-based target at current prices and zero remaining upside in the near-term geometry, the setup offers no margin of safety for new buyers.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Low Peg→Stable
  • Momentum Breakout Golden Cross↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Improvement After Prior Misses→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Hope Bancorp, Inc. (HOPE) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Hope Bancorp, Inc. is the Los Angeles-based holding company for Bank of Hope, a multi-ethnic community bank operating 74 branches across California, Hawaii, New York, New Jersey, Washington, Illinois, Texas, Alabama and Georgia, plus a representative office in Seoul, South... Read more

$13.20-0.2% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#36 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield4.21%(5y avg 4.63%)Payout54.37%sustainable
Stop $12.64Target $13.86(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$15.50+17.4%4 analysts
$13.86our TP
$13.20price
$15.50mean
$16

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.9
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn23.9%
ROE5.7%
Rev Growth71.0%
Beta0.85
Dividend4.21%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV107%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans58%
    10-K Item 1A: 'As of December 31, 2025, approximately 58% of our loan portfolio consisted of loans secured by various types of commercial real estate (excluding 1-4 family residential mortgage loans).'
  • MEDIUMGeographicSouthern California
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our operations are concentrated in Southern California, which is an earthquake and fire prone region.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
3.4
Volume
3.5
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.8
Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.00Resistance $14.14

Price Targets

$13
$14
A.Upside-0.2%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.2% upside)
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HOPE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $13.86 (+5.0%), stop $12.64 (−4.4%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HOPE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.86 (-0.2% upside). Target $13.86 (+5.0%), stop $12.64 (−4.4%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Stop-loss: $12.64.

What are the risks of investing in HOPE?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is HOPE overvalued or undervalued?

Hope Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.9 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HOPE?

10 analysts cover HOPE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Hope Bancorp, Inc. do?Hope Bancorp, Inc. is the Los Angeles-based holding company for Bank of Hope, a multi-ethnic community bank operating...

Hope Bancorp, Inc. is the Los Angeles-based holding company for Bank of Hope, a multi-ethnic community bank operating 74 branches across California, Hawaii, New York, New Jersey, Washington, Illinois, Texas, Alabama and Georgia, plus a representative office in Seoul, South Korea. Commercial real estate loans made up approximately 58% of the bank's loan portfolio at year-end 2025, and operations remain significantly concentrated in earthquake- and fire-prone Southern California. On April 2, 2025, Hope completed its merger with Territorial Bancorp, adding a Hawaii thrift franchise now operating

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