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HLHecla Mining CompanyBuy Wait7.0·$15.16+0.13%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Hecla Mining carries a wide economic moat, 17% gross margins, and a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 while trading at a forward price-to-earnings of roughly 14x and 33% below the analyst target — a quality-at-discount setup constrained by commodity concentration and heavy options-market downside positioning that argues for a starter-sized position.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Quality FranchiseStable
  • Compelling Risk Reward To TargetDeteriorating
  • Commodity Concentration Cyclical RiskStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Hecla Mining Company (HL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

Wait for pullback to $14.71. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $15.16. Engine's entry $14.71 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc; Negative momentum.

Hecla Mining Company has produced precious and base metals since 1891, operating four North American mines: Greens Creek (Alaska, 44% of 2025 metals sales), Lucky Friday (Idaho, 22%), Keno Hill (Yukon, 11%), and Casa Berardi (Quebec, 23%, pending sale). Concentrates and doré are... Read more

$15.16+34.6% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#1 of 14 Other Precious Metals & Mining
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.73%
IncomeYield0.10%(5y avg 0.50%)Payout2.17%sustainable
Entry $14.71(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $13.20Target $20.47(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$23.53+55.2%9 analysts
$20.47our TP
$15.16price
$23.53mean
$32

Wait for pullback to $14.71. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $15.16. Engine's entry $14.71 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.19, quality 8.4/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 20268d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong overall score: 7.0/10
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.9
P/E (Fwd)13.0
Mkt Cap$10.2B
EV/EBITDA11.2
Profit Mgn16.8%
ROE19.9%
Rev Growth100.4%
Beta1.29
Dividend0.10%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.03bearish
IV83%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditysilver, gold, lead and zinc
    10-K Item 1: 'Our operating results are substantially dependent upon the prices of silver, gold, lead and zinc'
  • MEDIUMCustomerrelatively small number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a significant amount of revenue from a relatively small number of customers'
  • MEDIUMGeographicGreens Creek44%
    10-K Item 1: 'The contributions to our total metals sales by our significant operations in 2025 were 44.3% from Greens Creek'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-22Item 5.02LOW
    On May 21, 2026, shareholders approved an amendment to Hecla's Director Stock Plan extending its expiration date from May 2027 to May 2036. Routine compensatory arrangement change; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-10Item 1.02MEDIUM
    On April 9, 2026, Hecla completed full redemption of remaining $263 million 7.25% Senior Notes due 2028, terminating the Indenture (Feb 2020) and two supplemental indentures. No default; redemption completed at par per notice from trustee.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-10Item 2.04LOW
    Triggering event related to full redemption of $263 million 7.25% Senior Notes due 2028 on April 9, 2026. Obligation accelerated via redemption; no default. Incorporates Item 1.02 by reference.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Macd
7.2
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
5.6
Bollinger
5.8
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.05Resistance $16.67

Price Targets

$13
$15
$20
A.Upside+34.6%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.9%
Max %1.8%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $14.71. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $15.16. Engine's entry $14.71 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.19, quality 8.4/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $20.47 (+35.0%), stop $13.20 (−14.8%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.47 (+34.6% upside). Target $20.47 (+35.0%), stop $13.20 (−14.8%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Stop-loss: $13.20.

What are the risks of investing in HL?

Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc; Negative momentum.

Is HL overvalued or undervalued?

Hecla Mining Company trades at a P/E of 21.9 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about HL?

17 analysts cover HL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Hecla Mining Company do?Hecla Mining Company has produced precious and base metals since 1891, operating four North American mines: Greens...

Hecla Mining Company has produced precious and base metals since 1891, operating four North American mines: Greens Creek (Alaska, 44% of 2025 metals sales), Lucky Friday (Idaho, 22%), Keno Hill (Yukon, 11%), and Casa Berardi (Quebec, 23%, pending sale). Concentrates and doré are sold to custom smelters, metal traders, and refiners; the company realized average silver of $45.25/oz and gold of $3,490/oz in 2025.

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