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GROYGold Royalty Corp.Hold5.9·$2.86+3.62%
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Gold Royalty Corp. (GROY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Gold Royalty Corp., a precious metals-focused royalty company, provides financing solutions to the metals and mining industry in the United States, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada, Brazil, and Mexico. It focuses on acquiring royalties, streams, or similar interests at varying... Read more

$2.86+82.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#29 of 41 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-15.24%
Stop $2.66Target $5.22(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 8.6:1
Analyst target$6.00+109.8%7 analysts
$5.22our TP
$2.86price
$6.00mean
$8

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 83%
Risks
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)23.1
Mkt Cap$660M
EV/EBITDA89.0
Profit Mgn-5.7%
ROE-0.2%
Rev Growth128.7%
Beta0.93
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.58bullish
IV78%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.5
Gap
4.0
Bollinger
4.5
Support Resistance
6.2
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.5>=5.5A.R:R 8.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.66Resistance $3.18

Price Targets

$3
$5
A.Upside+82.5%
A.R:R8.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts13
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$6

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GROY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 51. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $5.22 (+82.5%), stop $2.66 (−7.5%), A.R:R 8.6:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GROY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.22 (+82.5% upside). Target $5.22 (+82.5%), stop $2.66 (−7.5%), A.R:R 8.6:1. Stop-loss: $2.66.

What are the risks of investing in GROY?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is GROY overvalued or undervalued?

Gold Royalty Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 23.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GROY?

13 analysts cover GROY with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $6.

What does Gold Royalty Corp. do?Gold Royalty Corp., a precious metals-focused royalty company, provides financing solutions to the metals and mining...

Gold Royalty Corp., a precious metals-focused royalty company, provides financing solutions to the metals and mining industry in the United States, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada, Brazil, and Mexico. It focuses on acquiring royalties, streams, or similar interests at varying stages of the mine life cycle to build a portfolio offering near, medium, and longer-term returns for its investors. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.) · OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.) · SSRM (SSR Mining Inc.)
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