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GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp.Sell4.8·$10.30+3.16%
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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.30: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 41%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.70; Below-average business quality.

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. operates as a retailer of consumables and fresh products sold through independently operated stores in the United States. It offers perishable department products, including dairy and deli; produce and floral; and meat and seafood. The company also... Read more

$10.30-1.3% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#9 of 11 Grocery Stores
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-5.91%
Stop $9.66Target $10.26(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$8.46-17.8%13 analysts
$10.26our TP
$10.30price
$8.46mean
$6

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.30: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 41%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.70; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-29.1% upside)
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)16.5
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA13.6
Profit Mgn-8.1%
ROE-38.4%
Rev Growth3.6%
Beta0.64
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.70bearish
IV80%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
0.4
52w Position
0.7

Unprofitable operations — net margin -8.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
1.0
Gross Margin
2.0
Moat
3.1
Current Ratio
4.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Cash-burning: FCF -1% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Short Interest
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Days To Cover
1.4
Volatility
2.2
Debt Equity
2.7
Beta
9.2
High short interest justified: 41%Elevated put/call: 2.70High IV: 80%
GatesA.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Speculative
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.30Resistance $10.47

Price Targets

$10
$10
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-29.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.30: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 41%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.70; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $9.66. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.26 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $9.66. Stop-loss: $9.66.

What are the risks of investing in GO?

Target reached (-29.1% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is GO overvalued or undervalued?

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 16.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GO?

22 analysts cover GO with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. do?Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. operates as a retailer of consumables and fresh products sold through independently...

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. operates as a retailer of consumables and fresh products sold through independently operated stores in the United States. It offers perishable department products, including dairy and deli; produce and floral; and meat and seafood. The company also provides non-perishable department products, such as non-perishable grocery, general merchandise, health and beauty care, frozen foods, and beer and wine. It operates stores in California, Washington, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Idaho, Maryland, Nevada, North Carolina, New Jersey, Georgia, Ohio, Alabama, Delaware, Kentucky, and Virginia. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.

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