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GIBCGI Inc.Sell5.4·$73.41-1.81%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

CGI offers excellent cash conversion at 127% of net income and a three-quarter streak of earnings beats at a single-digit forward multiple, but a confirmed death cross with the 200-day moving average declining at 5.3% per month and persistently weak revenue growth limit the appeal of establishing or adding to a position until the technical picture improves.

Thesis pillars

  • Excellent Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Consecutive Earnings Beats At Low MultipleStable
  • Weak Growth Limits Multiple ExpansionImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CGI Inc. (GIB) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $73.41 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum.

CGI Inc. provides information technology and business process services in Western and Southern Europe, the United States, Canada, Scandinavia, Northwest and Central-East Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, Germany, Finland, Poland, Baltics, and the Asia Pacific. It offers... Read more

$73.41-5.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#33 of 47 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield14.38%
IncomeYield0.66%Payout8.20%sustainable
Stop $68.79Target $84.42(default +15%)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$81.54+11.1%3 analysts
$84.42our TP
$73.41price
$81.54mean
$91

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $73.41 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 87d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202687d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.7
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$15.2B
EV/EBITDA6.5
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE17.0%
Rev Growth2.5%
Beta0.17
Dividend0.66%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$110+49.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.8
Bollinger
3.8
52w Position
4.3

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
3.7
Ma Position
6.0
Macd
6.9
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 87d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $63.07Resistance $75.62

Price Targets

$69
$84
A.Upside-5.6%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.6% upside)
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (87d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GIB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $73.41 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Prior stop was $68.79. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GIB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $84.42 (-5.6% upside). Prior stop was $68.79. Stop-loss: $68.79.

What are the risks of investing in GIB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is GIB overvalued or undervalued?

CGI Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.7 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GIB?

22 analysts cover GIB with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $82.

What does CGI Inc. do?CGI Inc. provides information technology and business process services in Western and Southern Europe, the United...

CGI Inc. provides information technology and business process services in Western and Southern Europe, the United States, Canada, Scandinavia, Northwest and Central-East Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, Germany, Finland, Poland, Baltics, and the Asia Pacific. It offers end-to-end services and solutions, including business and strategic IT consulting; systems integration, such as data integration, AI and automation integration, cloud integration, Internet of Things, enterprise application integration, application programming interface integration, and legacy system modernization; managed IT and business process; and application services comprising application management, DevSecOps, application modernization and rationalization, and quality engineering and assurance. The company also provides infrastructure services, which include legacy infrastructure modernization, cloud and hybrid infrastructure management, IT service management, FinOps-enabled cloud management, cyber resilience and compliance, site reliability engineering and AIOps, and infrastructure-as-code; and intellectual property business solutions. It serves banking and capital markets, communications and media, energy and utilities, government, health, insurance, life sciences, manufacturing, retail and consumer services, space, transportation, and logistics industries. The company was formerly known as CGI Group Inc. and changed its name to CGI Inc. in January 2019. CGI Inc. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

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