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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

CGI offers excellent cash conversion at 127% of net income and a three-quarter streak of earnings beats at a single-digit forward multiple, but a confirmed death cross with the 200-day moving average declining at 5.3% per month and persistently weak revenue growth limit the appeal of establishing or adding to a position until the technical picture improves.

Thesis pillars

  • Excellent Cash Conversion Quality→Stable
  • Consecutive Earnings Beats At Low Multiple→Stable
  • Weak Growth Limits Multiple Expansion↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CGI Inc. (GIB) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-11). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.11 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5).

CGI Inc. provides information technology and business process services in Western and Southern Europe, the United States, Canada, Scandinavia, Northwest and Central-East Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, Germany, Finland, Poland, Baltics, and the Asia Pacific. It offers... Read more

$81.11-12.6% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#19 of 44 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield13.02%
IncomeYield0.60%Payout8.20%sustainable
Stop $77.03Analyst target $70.89(reached)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst consensus$83.40+2.8%3 analysts with price targets
$81.11price
$83.40mean
$75
$90

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.11 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 6, 2026

Recent Developments — CGI Inc.

Latest item Oct 6, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:44:35Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.2
P/E (Fwd)11.7
Mkt Cap$16.8B
EV/EBITDA7.0
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE17.0%
Rev Growth2.5%
Beta0.17
Dividend0.60%
Analysts with ratings22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.36bullish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 7.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
75 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $68.63Resistance $83.05

Price Targets

A.Upside-12.6%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GIB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.11 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $77.03. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GIB stock price target?

Analyst target $70.89 reached (−12.6% from $81.11); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $77.03. Stop-loss: $77.03.

What are the risks of investing in GIB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is GIB overvalued or undervalued?

CGI Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.2 (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GIB?

22 analysts rate GIB, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 3 analysts publish price targets averaging $83.

What does CGI Inc. do?CGI Inc. provides information technology and business process services in Western and Southern Europe, the United...

CGI Inc. provides information technology and business process services in Western and Southern Europe, the United States, Canada, Scandinavia, Northwest and Central-East Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, Germany, Finland, Poland, Baltics, and the Asia Pacific. It offers end-to-end services and solutions, including business and strategic IT consulting; systems integration, such as data integration, AI and automation integration, cloud integration, Internet of Things, enterprise application integration, application programming interface integration, and legacy system modernization; managed IT and business process; and application services comprising application management, DevSecOps, application modernization and rationalization, and quality engineering and assurance. The company also provides infrastructure services, which include legacy infrastructure modernization, cloud and hybrid infrastructure management, IT service management, FinOps-enabled cloud management, cyber resilience and compliance, site reliability engineering and AIOps, and infrastructure-as-code; and intellectual property business solutions. It serves banking and capital markets, communications and media, energy and utilities, government, health, insurance, life sciences, manufacturing, retail and consumer services, space, transportation, and logistics industries. The company was formerly known as CGI Group Inc. and changed its name to CGI Inc. in January 2019. CGI Inc. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

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