Skip to main content
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

CGI offers excellent cash conversion at 127% of net income and a three-quarter streak of earnings beats at a single-digit forward multiple, but a confirmed death cross with the 200-day moving average declining at 5.3% per month and persistently weak revenue growth limit the appeal of establishing or adding to a position until the technical picture improves.

Thesis pillars

  • Excellent Cash Conversion Quality→Stable
  • Consecutive Earnings Beats At Low Multiple→Stable
  • Weak Growth Limits Multiple Expansion↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CGI Inc. (GIB) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $72.35 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5).

CGI Inc. provides information technology and business process services in Western and Southern Europe, the United States, Canada, Scandinavia, Northwest and Central-East Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, Germany, Finland, Poland, Baltics, and the Asia Pacific. It offers... Read more

$72.35-4.8% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#19 of 44 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield14.64%
IncomeYield0.67%Payout8.20%sustainable
Stop $68.93Target $83.20(default +15%)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$81.07+12.1%2 analysts
$83.20our TP
$72.35price
$81.07mean
$89

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $72.35 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202628d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 50%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.4
P/E (Fwd)10.5
Mkt Cap$14.9B
EV/EBITDA6.4
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE17.0%
Rev Growth2.5%
Beta0.19
Dividend0.67%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.40bearish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$40-44.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
2.4
52w Position
5.3
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $66.52Resistance $74.20

Price Targets

$69
$83
A.Upside-4.8%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GIB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $72.35 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Prior stop was $68.93. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GIB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.20 (-4.8% upside). Prior stop was $68.93. Stop-loss: $68.93.

What are the risks of investing in GIB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is GIB overvalued or undervalued?

CGI Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.4 (forward 10.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GIB?

21 analysts cover GIB with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $81.

What does CGI Inc. do?CGI Inc. provides information technology and business process services in Western and Southern Europe, the United...

CGI Inc. provides information technology and business process services in Western and Southern Europe, the United States, Canada, Scandinavia, Northwest and Central-East Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, Germany, Finland, Poland, Baltics, and the Asia Pacific. It offers end-to-end services and solutions, including business and strategic IT consulting; systems integration, such as data integration, AI and automation integration, cloud integration, Internet of Things, enterprise application integration, application programming interface integration, and legacy system modernization; managed IT and business process; and application services comprising application management, DevSecOps, application modernization and rationalization, and quality engineering and assurance. The company also provides infrastructure services, which include legacy infrastructure modernization, cloud and hybrid infrastructure management, IT service management, FinOps-enabled cloud management, cyber resilience and compliance, site reliability engineering and AIOps, and infrastructure-as-code; and intellectual property business solutions. It serves banking and capital markets, communications and media, energy and utilities, government, health, insurance, life sciences, manufacturing, retail and consumer services, space, transportation, and logistics industries. The company was formerly known as CGI Group Inc. and changed its name to CGI Inc. in January 2019. CGI Inc. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

Related stocks: FIS (Fidelity National Information S) · PENG (Penguin Solutions, Inc.) · INOD (Innodata Inc.) · ACN (Accenture plc) · WSE (Wise Group plc)
Home › Stocks › GIB

Latest news

Latest News

GuruFocus169d ago
MSN169d agoEarnings
Zacks Investment Research169d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat176d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail170d agoAnalyst
TipRanks84d agoEarnings
TradingKey84d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail172d agoAnalyst
Upstox173d ago
GuruFocus80d ago
GuruFocus80d ago
TradingKey80d ago
GuruFocus83d ago
MarketBeat83d ago
The Globe and Mail83d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus174d ago
Benzinga9d agoAnalyst
Benzinga9d ago
Benzinga22d ago
Benzinga22d ago
Loading more...