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GIBCGI Inc.Buy Wait5.2·$66.43+4.14%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

CGI offers excellent cash conversion at 127% of net income and a three-quarter streak of earnings beats at a single-digit forward multiple, but a confirmed death cross with the 200-day moving average declining at 5.3% per month and persistently weak revenue growth limit the appeal of establishing or adding to a position until the technical picture improves.

Thesis pillars

  • Excellent Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Consecutive Earnings Beats At Low MultipleStable
  • Weak Growth Limits Multiple ExpansionImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CGI Inc. (GIB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $63.11. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $66.43. Engine's entry $63.11 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.7%), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.04% of cap).

CGI Inc. provides information technology and business process services in Western and Southern Europe, the United States, Canada, Scandinavia, Northwest and Central-East Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, Germany, Finland, Poland, Baltics, and the Asia Pacific. It offers... Read more

$66.43-8.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#34 of 46 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield15.29%
IncomeYield0.72%Payout8.36%sustainable
Entry $63.11(5% below current)Stop $60.38Target $67.40(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$71.55+7.7%3 analysts
$67.40our TP
$66.43price
$71.55mean
$62
$84

Wait for pullback to $63.11. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $66.43. Engine's entry $63.11 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.7%), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.04% of cap). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.7%), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.04% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.2
P/E (Fwd)9.7
Mkt Cap$13.9B
EV/EBITDA6.0
Profit Mgn10.3%
ROE16.6%
Rev Growth3.3%
Beta0.17
Dividend0.72%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.93neutral
IV43%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.1
Volume
2.3
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.3
Earnings Growth
4.1
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $62.25Resistance $68.78

Price Targets

$60
$63
$67
A.Upside-8.4%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.4% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GIB stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $63.11. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $66.43. Engine's entry $63.11 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.7%), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.04% of cap). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $67.40 (+1.5%), stop $60.38 (−10.0%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GIB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $67.40 (-8.4% upside). Target $67.40 (+1.5%), stop $60.38 (−10.0%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Stop-loss: $60.38.

What are the risks of investing in GIB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.7%), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.04% of cap).

Is GIB overvalued or undervalued?

CGI Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.2 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about GIB?

21 analysts cover GIB with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $72.

What does CGI Inc. do?CGI Inc. provides information technology and business process services in Western and Southern Europe, the United...

CGI Inc. provides information technology and business process services in Western and Southern Europe, the United States, Canada, Scandinavia, Northwest and Central-East Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, Germany, Finland, Poland, Baltics, and the Asia Pacific. It offers end-to-end services and solutions, including business and strategic IT consulting; systems integration, such as data integration, AI and automation integration, cloud integration, Internet of Things, enterprise application integration, application programming interface integration, and legacy system modernization; managed IT and business process; and application services comprising application management, DevSecOps, application modernization and rationalization, and quality engineering and assurance. The company also provides infrastructure services, which include legacy infrastructure modernization, cloud and hybrid infrastructure management, IT service management, FinOps-enabled cloud management, cyber resilience and compliance, site reliability engineering and AIOps, and infrastructure-as-code; and intellectual property business solutions. It serves banking and capital markets, communications and media, energy and utilities, government, health, insurance, life sciences, manufacturing, retail and consumer services, space, transportation, and logistics industries. The company was formerly known as CGI Group Inc. and changed its name to CGI Inc. in January 2019. CGI Inc. was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

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