GCM Grosvenor (GCMG) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.22
- Estimate
- $0.21
- Surprise
- +5.8%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $145.6M
- Score today
- 6.6/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
GCM Grosvenor (GCMG) beat the $0.21 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.22 — a clear 5.8% upside surprise.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates GCMG Hold at 6.6/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +5.8% surprise compares with a +8.7% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.1 in RISK_OFF)
- Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Product: Private Markets (71.0%)
- Concentration risk — Product: customized separate accounts (71.0%)
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $14.14
- Entry target
- $13.64
- Stop
- $12.69
The stock trades at 25.9× trailing but 12.5× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 70 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-10 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
GCMG at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Asset Management
- Market cap
- $822.1M
- P/E (fwd)
- 12.5
- P/E (ttm)
- 25.9
- 52-week range
- $9.30–$14.87
- Off 52-week high
- 4.9%
- RSI (14)
- 70
- Volume vs avg
- 0.68×
- Score today
- 6.6/10