GCM Grosvenor (GCMG) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.19
- Estimate
- $0.18
- Surprise
- +3.3%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $134.3M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.2 → 6.2/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
GCM Grosvenor (GCMG) beat the $0.18 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.19 — a clear 3.3% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Sell (6.2/10) to Hold at 6.2/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates GCMG Buy (Wait) at 6.5/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +3.3% surprise compares with a +9.9% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-05.
What supports the rating
- V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.1 in RISK_OFF)
- Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Product: Private Markets (71.0%)
- Concentration risk — Product: customized separate accounts (71.0%)
- Thin upside margin: 6.4%
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $12.38
- Entry target
- $11.49
- Price target
- $13.17
- Stop
- $10.77
- Upside to target
- +6.4%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.1:1
The stock trades at 24.9× trailing but 12.0× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-24 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
GCMG at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Asset Management
- Market cap
- $790.4M
- P/E (fwd)
- 12.0
- P/E (ttm)
- 24.9
- 52-week range
- $9.30–$14.87
- Off 52-week high
- 16.7%
- RSI (14)
- 31
- Volume vs avg
- 0.25×
- Score today
- 6.5/10