GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the GCMG stock price target?

Take-profit $12.32 (+12.2% upside). Target $12.32 (+12.2%), stop $10.21 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.9:1.

Q: What are the risks of investing in GCMG?

Market cap $0.64B below $1B minimum; Market cap $0.64B below $1B minimum; Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum.

Q: Is GCMG overvalued or undervalued?

GCM Grosvenor Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.5 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about GCMG?

12 analysts cover GCMG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $15.

Recovery setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Financial Services · Asset Management

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.64B below $1B minimum.

$10.98+12.2% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#19 of 109 Asset Management

Stop $10.21Target $12.32(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.9:1

Analyst target$14.50+32.1%4 analysts

$12.32our TP

$10.98price

$14.50mean

$17

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.64B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Market cap $0.64B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Market cap $0.64B below $1B minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.5

P/E (Fwd)10.2

Mkt Cap$637M

EV/EBITDA7.3

Profit Mgn8.2%

ROE765.9%

Rev Growth6.8%

Beta0.88

Dividend4.48%

Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV70%elevated

Max Pain$3-77.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.015%1.20

Quality7.515%1.13

Growth7.115%1.06

Momentum5.310%0.53

Sentiment6.210%0.62

Insider Activity3.810%0.38

Peer Rank4.310%0.43

Technical Setup4.45%0.22

Risk Profile4.95%0.25

Catalyst7.55%0.38

Overall (Σ contributions)6.19

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

75 · Overbought

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.42Resistance $11.17

Price Targets

$10

$12

A.Upside+12.2%

A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $0.64B below $1B minimum

! Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is GCMG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.98, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.64B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Market cap $0.64B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $12.32 (+12.2%), stop $10.21 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GCMG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.32 (+12.2% upside). Target $12.32 (+12.2%), stop $10.21 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $10.21.

What are the risks of investing in GCMG?

Market cap $0.64B below $1B minimum.

Is GCMG overvalued or undervalued?

GCM Grosvenor Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.5 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GCMG?

12 analysts cover GCMG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $15.

What does GCM Grosvenor Inc. do?GCM Grosvenor is an alternative asset management firm with $90.9B AUM across private equity ($32.9B), infrastructure...

GCM Grosvenor is an alternative asset management firm with $90.9B AUM across private equity ($32.9B), infrastructure ($18.7B), real estate ($7.2B), and absolute return strategies ($26.8B). Revenue is primarily management fees ($426M in 2025) and carried interest from institutional and individual clients; the firm specializes in customized separate account solutions with client relationships frequently spanning decades.