GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Financial Services · Asset Management
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Private Markets (71.0%); Concentration risk — Product: customized separate accounts (71.0%).
GCM Grosvenor manages $90.9 billion in alternative assets across private markets and absolute return strategies, serving over 700 institutional clients globally as of December 31, 2025. The company earns primarily management fees ($426 million in 2025) from customized separate... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Private Markets (71.0%); Concentration risk — Product: customized separate accounts (71.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Market cap $0.69B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About GCM Grosvenor Inc.
About GCM Grosvenor Inc.
GCM Grosvenor managed $90.9 billion in alternative assets as of December 31, 2025, generating $426 million in management fees and $558 million in total operating revenues for the year. Private Markets strategies—private equity, infrastructure, real estate, and alternative credit—represent $64.1 billion or 71% of total AUM; Absolute Return Strategies account for $26.8 billion or 29%. The firm employs 553 people, including 185 investment professionals, across nine offices in eight countries, serving over 700 institutional clients from 34 countries.
Revenue splits sharply between management fees and incentive fees: net management fees of $408 million in 2025 were nearly nine times the $44.5 million in net incentive fees attributable to GCM Grosvenor, reflecting the long-duration, management-fee-centric structure of the business. Investment capital is delivered through customized separate accounts (71% of AUM, $64.3 billion across 166 clients) and specialized funds (29%, $26.6 billion). Customized separate account clients may terminate their relationship on as little as 30 days' notice, while investors in most closed-end specialized funds holding 75% of commitments may suspend or terminate commitment periods under certain conditions. Re-up rates for private markets customized programs averaged approximately 90% from 2018 through 2025, with successor programs averaging 25% larger than predecessors. Fee-Related Earnings margin expanded to 44% in 2025 from 31% in 2020.
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The firm's 25 largest clients by AUM have averaged approximately 15 years of tenure, and existing clients contributed more than 82% of capital raised in 2025—a concentration that supports revenue visibility but also exposes the company to client-level events such as ownership changes or transitions to in-house management. Certain state-government-sponsored contracts are subject to competitive bidding for renewal, and the 10-K cautions that if multiple clients failed to renew commitments, fee revenues would decline materially. Carried interest distributions are realized only upon investment exits, creating cash flow lumpiness that may weigh on quarterly earnings predictability.
See also: Financial Services · Asset Management
From GCM Grosvenor Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-17Recent Developments — GCM Grosvenor Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS TD Cowen Maintains Buy on GCM Grosvenor, Raises Price Target to $14 — benzinga May 26, 2026
- NEWS Oppenheimer Maintains Outperform on GCM Grosvenor, Raises Price Target to $18 — benzinga May 11, 2026
- NEWS GCM Grosvenor Q1 Adj. EPS $0.18, Inline, Sales $124.800M Miss $130.133M Estimate — benzinga May 7, 2026
- NEWS Oppenheimer Maintains Outperform on GCM Grosvenor, Lowers Price Target to $17 — benzinga Apr 13, 2026
- NEWS Piper Sandler Maintains Overweight on GCM Grosvenor, Lowers Price Target to $13 — benzinga Apr 7, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-17T09:07:23Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductPrivate Markets71%10-K Item 1: 'Private Markets represents $64.1 billion of AUM, or 71% of total AUM'
- HIGHProductcustomized separate accounts71%10-K Item 1: 'customized separate accounts comprised $64.3 billion, or 71% of our AUM as of December 31, 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Private Markets (71.0%); Concentration risk — Product: customized separate accounts (71.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Market cap $0.69B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $12.11 (+3.7%), stop $10.90 (−7.2%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $12.11 (+3.7% upside). Target $12.11 (+3.7%), stop $10.90 (−7.2%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $10.90.
Concentration risk — Product: Private Markets (71.0%); Concentration risk — Product: customized separate accounts (71.0%); Market cap $0.69B below $1B minimum.
GCM Grosvenor Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.8 (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.
12 analysts cover GCMG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $14.
What does GCM Grosvenor Inc. do?GCM Grosvenor manages $90.9 billion in alternative assets across private markets and absolute return strategies,...
GCM Grosvenor manages $90.9 billion in alternative assets across private markets and absolute return strategies, serving over 700 institutional clients globally as of December 31, 2025. The company earns primarily management fees ($426 million in 2025) from customized separate accounts (71% of AUM) and specialized funds, with incentive fees adding a performance-sensitive component.