Skip to main content
EMAEmera IncorporatedSell4.6·$53.47+2.30%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Emera has built strong price momentum — a golden cross with rising volume accumulation — and has beaten consensus earnings estimates in three of the four most recent quarters, but the stock has already moved above the price target with negative remaining headroom, free cash flow is deeply negative relative to net income, and the dividend carries an unsafe yield warning, making the current setup one that favors patience rather than fresh capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Price Momentum BreakoutStable
  • Free Cash Flow Deeply NegativeStable
  • Price Above Target No UpsideStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Emera Incorporated (EMA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $53.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.1% away).

Emera Incorporated, an energy and services company, invests in generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in the United States, Canada, Barbados, and the Bahamas. The company operates through Florida Electric Utility, Canadian Electric Utilities, Gas Utilities and... Read more

$53.47-1.4% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#32 of 42 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-12.60%
IncomeYield3.96%(5y avg 4.93%)Payout89.14%at-risk
Stop $51.71Target $52.72(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$62.00+16.0%2 analysts
$52.72our TP
$53.47price
$62.00mean
$72

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $53.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 7, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.1% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.2
P/E (Fwd)20.1
Mkt Cap$16.4B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn12.0%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth5.1%
Beta0.45
Dividend3.96%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV56%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.9
Revenue Growth
3.8
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $50.58Resistance $53.80

Price Targets

$52
$53
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EMA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $53.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $51.71. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

What is the EMA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.72 (-1.4% upside). Prior stop was $51.71. Stop-loss: $51.71.

What are the risks of investing in EMA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.

Is EMA overvalued or undervalued?

Emera Incorporated trades at a P/E of 23.2 (forward 20.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EMA?

20 analysts cover EMA with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $62.

What does Emera Incorporated do?Emera Incorporated, an energy and services company, invests in generation, transmission, and distribution of...

Emera Incorporated, an energy and services company, invests in generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in the United States, Canada, Barbados, and the Bahamas. The company operates through Florida Electric Utility, Canadian Electric Utilities, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, Other Electric Utilities, and Other segments. It is involved in the purchase, transmission, distribution, and sale of natural gas; and physical energy marketing, trading, and other energy asset management activities. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Halifax, Canada.

Related stocks: CEPU (Central Puerto S.A.) · PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · PEG (Public Service Enterprise Group) · ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · DUK (Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin)
Home Stocks EMA

Latest news

Latest News

MarketWatch67d ago
The Globe and Mail68d agoAnalyst
MarketWatch61d ago
Business Wire61d ago
Moomoo62d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com66d ago
MSN67d agoLeadership Change
Investing.com67d agoLeadership Change
Moomoo67d ago
MarketWatch59d ago
Yahoo Finance64d agoLeadership Change
MarketBeat63d agoEarnings
Kalkine Media65d ago
The Globe and Mail66d ago
MarketBeat66d ago
Benzinga56d agoAnalyst
Benzinga59d ago
Benzinga59d ago
Benzinga69d ago
Benzinga69d agoAnalyst
Loading more...