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ELMTThe Elmet Group Co.Sell5.6·$17.27-10.29%
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The Elmet Group Co. (ELMT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.27: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

The Elmet Group Co. manufactures and sells precision-engineered components and high-energy systems for the aerospace, defense and government, industrial, medical, semiconductor and electronics, and energy industries. The company operates through Critical Materials Components and... Read more

$17.27+26.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#23 of 64 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
Stop $16.26Target $22.06(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$20.50+18.7%4 analysts
$22.06our TP
$17.27price
$20.50mean
$22

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.27: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 17, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-0.0% upside)
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)32.4
Mkt Cap$523M
EV/EBITDA26.1
Profit Mgn1.3%
ROE
Rev Growth20.7%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.3
Net Margin
0.7
Operating Margin
2.2
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
6.3
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moat

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.5
Ma Position
3.5
Rsi
4.5
Obv
4.8
Volume
4.9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.3
Growth Rank
5.4
Value Rank
7.0
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=-0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $16.76Resistance $22.51

Price Targets

$16
$22
A.Upside+27.7%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-17 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ELMT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.27: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $16.26. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ELMT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.06 (+26.6% upside). Prior stop was $16.26. Stop-loss: $16.26.

What are the risks of investing in ELMT?

Target reached (-0.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is ELMT overvalued or undervalued?

The Elmet Group Co. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 32.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ELMT?

10 analysts cover ELMT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $21.

What does The Elmet Group Co. do?The Elmet Group Co. manufactures and sells precision-engineered components and high-energy systems for the aerospace,...

The Elmet Group Co. manufactures and sells precision-engineered components and high-energy systems for the aerospace, defense and government, industrial, medical, semiconductor and electronics, and energy industries. The company operates through Critical Materials Components and Engineered Microwave Products divisions. It provides critical refractory materials, including tungsten, molybdenum, niobium, tantalum, and specialized alloys. The company also offers radio frequency and microwave components and systems, such as waveguides, circulators, loads, pressure windows, and automatic tuning systems that allow for the powering of radar, missile tracking, directed energy systems, semiconductor fabrication, fusion research, and advanced industrial processing. The Elmet Group Co. was incorporated in 2024 and is headquartered in Portland, Maine.

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