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EFSCEnterprise Financial Services CSell5.4·$65.99+1.46%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The bank screens attractively valued at a forward P/E of 10.7x with a constructive technical setup following a golden cross, but only 0.8% of headroom remains to the near-term resistance level and the reward-to-risk ratio of roughly 0.2-to-1 makes new exposure inadvisable until the price pulls back or the analyst target is raised materially.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation ProfileImproving
  • Minimal Upside Poor GeometryImproving
  • Bullish Technical BreakoutDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Enterprise Financial Services C (EFSC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $65.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.0% away).

Enterprise Financial Services Corp operates Enterprise Bank & Trust, a full-service bank with more than $10 billion in assets serving businesses and individuals primarily in Arizona, California, Florida, Kansas, Missouri, Nevada, and New Mexico. The bank generates net interest... Read more

$65.99-8.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#195 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.06%(5y avg 2.02%)Payout25.84%sustainable
Stop $62.65Target $67.36(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$69.60+5.5%5 analysts
$67.36our TP
$65.99price
$69.60mean
$72

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $65.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.0% away). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 93d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Oct 26, 202693d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.0% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.9
P/E (Fwd)11.2
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn27.4%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth1.2%
Beta0.80
Dividend2.06%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.9
Quality Rank
2.9
Value Rank
5.9

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.8
Earnings Growth
5.1
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 93d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $59.61Resistance $68.73

Price Targets

$63
$67
A.Upside-8.2%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.2% upside)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-26 (93d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EFSC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $65.99 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.0% away). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $62.65. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EFSC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $67.36 (-8.2% upside). Prior stop was $62.65. Stop-loss: $62.65.

What are the risks of investing in EFSC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.0% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is EFSC overvalued or undervalued?

Enterprise Financial Services C trades at a P/E of 12.9 (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EFSC?

11 analysts cover EFSC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $70.

What does Enterprise Financial Services C do?Enterprise Financial Services Corp operates Enterprise Bank & Trust, a full-service bank with more than $10 billion in...

Enterprise Financial Services Corp operates Enterprise Bank & Trust, a full-service bank with more than $10 billion in assets serving businesses and individuals primarily in Arizona, California, Florida, Kansas, Missouri, Nevada, and New Mexico. The bank generates net interest income through C&I, CRE, SBA 7(a), sponsor finance, and specialty lending, supplemented by wealth management and treasury management fee income.

Related stocks: CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · BHB (Bar Harbor Bankshares, Inc.) · NBBK (NB Bancorp, Inc.) · NBN (Northeast Bank)
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