Brinker International (EAT) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $2.77
- Estimate
- $2.45
- Surprise
- +13.2%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-23)
- $1.48B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.6 → 5.8/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Brinker International (EAT) beat the $2.45 estimate with adjusted EPS of $2.77 — a large 13.2% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.6/10) to Hold at 5.8/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates EAT Hold at 5.8/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +13.2% surprise compares with a +5.8% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Positive news sentiment (+0.73)
What argues against it
- Thin upside margin: 4.7%
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
- Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $220.74
- Price target
- $231.05
- Stop
- $205.29
- Upside to target
- +4.7%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.3:1
The stock trades at 19.5× trailing but 15.1× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: trading volume is running 2.6× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
EAT at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Restaurants
- Market cap
- $9.24B
- P/E (fwd)
- 15.1
- P/E (ttm)
- 19.5
- 52-week range
- $100.30–$254.99
- Off 52-week high
- 13.4%
- RSI (14)
- 69
- Volume vs avg
- 2.60×
- Score today
- 5.8/10