Brinker International (EAT) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $3.07
- Estimate
- $3.09
- Surprise
- -0.5%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.4 → 5.5/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Brinker International (EAT) missed the $3.09 estimate with diluted EPS of $3.07 — a modest 0.5% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (5.4/10) to Sell at 5.5/10 after the report — the engine's score rose despite the miss.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates EAT Sell at 5.4/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -0.5% surprise compares with a +4.7% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-28.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
What argues against it
- Thin upside margin: 4.2%
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
- Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $230.22
- Price target
- $240.00
- Stop
- $214.10
- Upside to target
- +4.2%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.6:1
The stock trades at 21.2× trailing but 15.9× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-05 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
EAT at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Restaurants
- Market cap
- $9.62B
- P/E (fwd)
- 15.9
- P/E (ttm)
- 21.2
- 52-week range
- $100.30–$254.99
- Off 52-week high
- 9.7%
- RSI (14)
- 41
- Volume vs avg
- 0.82×
- Score today
- 5.4/10