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DACDanaos CorporationBuy Wait6.2·$122.32-0.70%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Danaos offers one of the deepest value profiles in marine shipping — a forward P/E of 5.4x, a PEG of 0.21, best-in-class margins of 50%, and a 69% margin of safety — with a favorable risk/reward of 1.58-to-1; the main friction is that the stock is already just below its near-term target with about 1.6% headroom remaining, suggesting patience for a pullback toward the entry level.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Valuation DiscountStable
  • Best In Class Operating MarginsStable
  • Estimate Revision MomentumStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Danaos Corporation (DAC) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Wait for pullback to $120.86. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $122.32. Engine's entry $120.86 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Danaos Corporation, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates containerships and drybulk vessels in Australia, Europe, and the United States. It operates in two segments, Container Vessels and Drybulk Vessels. The company provides seaborne transportation services by operating... Read more

$122.32+9.7% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#8 of 19 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.06%
IncomeYield2.94%(5y avg 3.64%)Payout12.35%sustainable
Entry $120.86(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $114.16Target $133.45(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$157.00+28.4%2 analysts
$133.45our TP
$122.32price
$157.00mean
$174

Wait for pullback to $120.86. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $122.32. Engine's entry $120.86 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.5 < 4.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=industrials 0/10). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 71%
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.1%
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.3
P/E (Fwd)5.0
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA3.3
Profit Mgn49.9%
ROE14.0%
Rev Growth0.2%
Beta0.89
Dividend2.94%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.91bearish
IV43%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.3
Rsi
8.4
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 24)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Industrials 0/10Suitability: Aggressive
RSI
24 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $120.00Resistance $132.76

Price Targets

$114
$121
$133
A.Upside+9.1%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %2.4%
Max %4.9%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum 3.5 < 4.5 minimum
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DAC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $120.86. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $122.32. Engine's entry $120.86 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.5 < 4.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Target $133.45 (+9.1%), stop $114.16 (−7.1%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $133.45 (+9.7% upside). Target $133.45 (+9.1%), stop $114.16 (−7.1%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $114.16.

What are the risks of investing in DAC?

Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is DAC overvalued or undervalued?

Danaos Corporation trades at a P/E of 4.3 (forward 5.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about DAC?

7 analysts cover DAC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $157.

What does Danaos Corporation do?Danaos Corporation, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates containerships and drybulk vessels in Australia,...

Danaos Corporation, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates containerships and drybulk vessels in Australia, Europe, and the United States. It operates in two segments, Container Vessels and Drybulk Vessels. The company provides seaborne transportation services by operating vessels in the containership and drybulk sectors of the shipping industry. As of December 31, 2025, it had a fleet of 75 containerships aggregating 477,230 TEUs; 27 container vessels under construction containerships aggregating 173,314 TEUs; 10 Capesize bulk carriers aggregating 1,755,000 DWT; and 2 dry bulk vessels under construction aggregating 422,000 DWT. The company was formerly known as Danaos Holdings Limited and changed its name to Danaos Corporation in October 2005. Danaos Corporation was founded in 1963 and is based in Piraeus, Greece.

Related stocks: NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · ECO (Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.) · HAFN (Hafnia Limited) · SB (Safe Bulkers, Inc) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.)
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