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DACDanaos CorporationSell6.2·$141.92+1.10%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Danaos offers one of the deepest value profiles in marine shipping — a forward P/E of 5.4x, a PEG of 0.21, best-in-class margins of 50%, and a 69% margin of safety — with a favorable risk/reward of 1.58-to-1; the main friction is that the stock is already just below its near-term target with about 1.6% headroom remaining, suggesting patience for a pullback toward the entry level.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Valuation DiscountImproving
  • Best In Class Operating MarginsStable
  • Estimate Revision MomentumDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Danaos Corporation (DAC) Stock Analysis

SellValueQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $141.92 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.3% away).

Danaos Corporation, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates containerships and drybulk vessels in Australia, Europe, and the United States. It operates in two segments, Container Vessels and Drybulk Vessels. The company provides seaborne transportation services by operating... Read more

$141.92-1.5% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#10 of 19 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield0.18%
IncomeYield2.56%(5y avg 3.71%)Payout12.02%sustainable
Stop $133.22Target $163.21(default +15%)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$164.50+15.9%2 analysts
$163.21our TP
$141.92price
$164.50mean
$174

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $141.92 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.3% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 94d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 16, 202694d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 68%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.3% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.7
P/E (Fwd)5.7
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA3.8
Profit Mgn51.3%
ROE14.1%
Rev Growth4.7%
Beta0.85
Dividend2.56%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.58bullish
IV55%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 94d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $125.32Resistance $145.31

Price Targets

$133
$163
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-16 (94d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DAC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $141.92 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.3% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $133.22. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $163.21 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $133.22. Stop-loss: $133.22.

What are the risks of investing in DAC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.3% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is DAC overvalued or undervalued?

Danaos Corporation trades at a P/E of 4.7 (forward 5.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DAC?

7 analysts cover DAC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $165.

What does Danaos Corporation do?Danaos Corporation, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates containerships and drybulk vessels in Australia,...

Danaos Corporation, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates containerships and drybulk vessels in Australia, Europe, and the United States. It operates in two segments, Container Vessels and Drybulk Vessels. The company provides seaborne transportation services by operating vessels in the containership and drybulk sectors of the shipping industry. As of December 31, 2025, it had a fleet of 75 containerships aggregating 477,230 TEUs; 27 container vessels under construction containerships aggregating 173,314 TEUs; 10 Capesize bulk carriers aggregating 1,755,000 DWT; and 2 dry bulk vessels under construction aggregating 422,000 DWT. The company was formerly known as Danaos Holdings Limited and changed its name to Danaos Corporation in October 2005. Danaos Corporation was founded in 1963 and is based in Piraeus, Greece.

Related stocks: ASC (Ardmore Shipping Corporation) · HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) · HAFN (Hafnia Limited) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · SB (Safe Bulkers, Inc)
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