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CSRD/B/A CenterspaceSell4.8·$52.90+0.97%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

This residential REIT scores below the minimum quality threshold, exhibits momentum at capitulation levels with RSI at 14, and has missed earnings expectations in 2 of the last 4 quarters with an average surprise of negative 70% — combined with elevated bearish options positioning and a risk/reward of 0.87-to-1, the setup calls for exiting existing positions rather than adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Investment FloorStable
  • Severe Momentum DeteriorationImproving
  • Inconsistent Earnings DeliveryStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

D/B/A Centerspace (CSR) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellValueShortHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. At $52.90, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily housing; Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwest and Mountain West.

Centerspace is a North Dakota-organized REIT that owns, manages, and redevelops apartment communities, holding 61 properties with 12,262 homes and $1.9 billion in net real estate investment as of December 31, 2025, concentrated in the Minneapolis/St. Paul, Denver, Boulder/Fort... Read more

$52.90+2.3% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#9 of 14 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield11.46%
IncomeYield5.88%(5y avg 4.37%)Payout180.47%
Stop $50.78Target $54.13(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$62.21+17.6%7 analysts
$54.13our TP
$52.90price
$62.21mean
$70

Sell if holding. At $52.90, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily housing; Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwest and Mountain West. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04

Recent Developments — D/B/A Centerspace

Generated 2026-09-04T22:07:06Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily housing
Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwest and Mountain West
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.3
P/E (Fwd)-145.5
Mkt Cap$927M
EV/EBITDA14.9
Profit Mgn8.1%
ROE3.4%
Rev Growth-4.0%
Beta0.88
Dividend5.88%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertymultifamily housing
    10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our investments are concentrated in the multifamily housing sector.'
  • HIGHGeographicMidwest and Mountain West
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our overall operations are concentrated in the Midwest and Mountain West regions of the United States.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
2.6
Value Rank
6.3
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $52.00Resistance $56.83

Price Targets

$51
$54
A.Upside+2.3%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.3% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $52.90, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily housing; Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwest and Mountain West. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $50.78. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

What is the CSR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $54.13 (+2.3% upside). Prior stop was $50.78. Stop-loss: $50.78.

What are the risks of investing in CSR?

Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily housing; Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwest and Mountain West; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CSR overvalued or undervalued?

D/B/A Centerspace trades at a P/E of 41.3 (forward -145.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSR?

13 analysts cover CSR with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $62.

What does D/B/A Centerspace do?Centerspace is a North Dakota-organized REIT that owns, manages, and redevelops apartment communities, holding 61...

Centerspace is a North Dakota-organized REIT that owns, manages, and redevelops apartment communities, holding 61 properties with 12,262 homes and $1.9 billion in net real estate investment as of December 31, 2025, concentrated in the Minneapolis/St. Paul, Denver, Boulder/Fort Collins, and Salt Lake City metro areas. The company funds growth through an UPREIT structure, an at-the-market equity program, and secured and unsecured debt, distributing approximately 65% of funds from operations to shareholders in 2025.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · UMH (UMH Properties, Inc.) · NXRT (NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc) · IRT (Independence Realty Trust, Inc.)
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