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CSRD/B/A CenterspaceSell4.4·$56.66-1.00%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This residential REIT scores below the minimum quality threshold, exhibits momentum at capitulation levels with RSI at 14, and has missed earnings expectations in 2 of the last 4 quarters with an average surprise of negative 70% — combined with elevated bearish options positioning and a risk/reward of 0.87-to-1, the setup calls for exiting existing positions rather than adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Investment FloorStable
  • Severe Momentum DeteriorationStable
  • Inconsistent Earnings DeliveryStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

D/B/A Centerspace (CSR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.66: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.50; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Centerspace is a North Dakota-organized REIT that owns, manages, and redevelops apartment communities, holding 61 properties with 12,262 homes and $1.9 billion in net real estate investment as of December 31, 2025, concentrated in the Minneapolis/St. Paul, Denver, Boulder/Fort... Read more

$56.66+3.8% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#16 of 17 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield10.17%
IncomeYield5.38%(5y avg 4.37%)Payout655.32%
Stop $53.43Target $58.78(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$67.56+19.2%8 analysts
$58.78our TP
$56.66price
$67.56mean
$70

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.66: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.50; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — D/B/A Centerspace

Generated 2026-07-06T17:32:23Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202628d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily housing
Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwest and Mountain West
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)121.8
P/E (Fwd)-110.4
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA15.5
Profit Mgn3.1%
ROE1.4%
Rev Growth-3.0%
Beta0.92
Dividend5.38%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C4.50bearish
IV47%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertymultifamily housing
    10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our investments are concentrated in the multifamily housing sector.'
  • HIGHGeographicMidwest and Mountain West
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our overall operations are concentrated in the Midwest and Mountain West regions of the United States.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -3.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.8
Declining revenue: -3%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
1.6
Value Rank
4.8

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MDividend: 538.0%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.5
Roa
0.5
Current Ratio
1.3
Net Margin
1.5
Operating Margin
2.6
Moat
4.6
Piotroski F
5.6
Gross Margin
7.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $53.76Resistance $60.17

Price Targets

$53
$59
A.Upside+3.7%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.66: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.50; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $53.43. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.78 (+3.8% upside). Prior stop was $53.43. Stop-loss: $53.43.

What are the risks of investing in CSR?

Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily housing; Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwest and Mountain West; Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is CSR overvalued or undervalued?

D/B/A Centerspace trades at a P/E of 121.8 (forward -110.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSR?

14 analysts cover CSR with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $68.

What does D/B/A Centerspace do?Centerspace is a North Dakota-organized REIT that owns, manages, and redevelops apartment communities, holding 61...

Centerspace is a North Dakota-organized REIT that owns, manages, and redevelops apartment communities, holding 61 properties with 12,262 homes and $1.9 billion in net real estate investment as of December 31, 2025, concentrated in the Minneapolis/St. Paul, Denver, Boulder/Fort Collins, and Salt Lake City metro areas. The company funds growth through an UPREIT structure, an at-the-market equity program, and secured and unsecured debt, distributing approximately 65% of funds from operations to shareholders in 2025.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · UMH (UMH Properties, Inc.) · JAN (Janus Living, Inc.) · IRT (Independence Realty Trust, Inc.) · NXRT (NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc)
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