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CSRD/B/A CenterspaceSell4.7·$55.84-0.16%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This residential REIT scores below the minimum quality threshold, exhibits momentum at capitulation levels with RSI at 14, and has missed earnings expectations in 2 of the last 4 quarters with an average surprise of negative 70% — combined with elevated bearish options positioning and a risk/reward of 0.87-to-1, the setup calls for exiting existing positions rather than adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Investment FloorStable
  • Severe Momentum DeteriorationImproving
  • Inconsistent Earnings DeliveryDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

D/B/A Centerspace (CSR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueShortModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. At $55.84, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily housing; Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwest and Mountain West.

Centerspace is a North Dakota-organized REIT that owns, manages, and redevelops apartment communities, holding 61 properties with 12,262 homes and $1.9 billion in net real estate investment as of December 31, 2025, concentrated in the Minneapolis/St. Paul, Denver, Boulder/Fort... Read more

$55.84-2.0% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#12 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield10.75%
IncomeYield5.52%(5y avg 4.37%)Payout180.47%
Stop $52.68Target $64.22(default +15%)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$62.93+12.7%7 analysts
$64.22our TP
$55.84price
$62.93mean
$70

Sell if holding. At $55.84, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily housing; Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwest and Mountain West. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15

Recent Developments — D/B/A Centerspace

Generated 2026-08-15T20:32:02Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 202679d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily housing
Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwest and Mountain West
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.6
P/E (Fwd)-173.3
Mkt Cap$988M
EV/EBITDA15.3
Profit Mgn8.1%
ROE3.4%
Rev Growth-4.0%
Beta0.89
Dividend5.52%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV74%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertymultifamily housing
    10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our investments are concentrated in the multifamily housing sector.'
  • HIGHGeographicMidwest and Mountain West
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our overall operations are concentrated in the Midwest and Mountain West regions of the United States.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
2.3
Value Rank
6.1
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $53.81Resistance $57.48

Price Targets

$53
$64
A.Upside-2.0%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $55.84, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily housing; Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwest and Mountain West. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Prior stop was $52.68. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.22 (-2.0% upside). Prior stop was $52.68. Stop-loss: $52.68.

What are the risks of investing in CSR?

Concentration risk — Property Type: multifamily housing; Concentration risk — Geographic: Midwest and Mountain West; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CSR overvalued or undervalued?

D/B/A Centerspace trades at a P/E of 43.6 (forward -173.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSR?

13 analysts cover CSR with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $63.

What does D/B/A Centerspace do?Centerspace is a North Dakota-organized REIT that owns, manages, and redevelops apartment communities, holding 61...

Centerspace is a North Dakota-organized REIT that owns, manages, and redevelops apartment communities, holding 61 properties with 12,262 homes and $1.9 billion in net real estate investment as of December 31, 2025, concentrated in the Minneapolis/St. Paul, Denver, Boulder/Fort Collins, and Salt Lake City metro areas. The company funds growth through an UPREIT structure, an at-the-market equity program, and secured and unsecured debt, distributing approximately 65% of funds from operations to shareholders in 2025.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · UMH (UMH Properties, Inc.) · JAN (Janus Living, Inc.) · IRT (Independence Realty Trust, Inc.) · NXRT (NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc)
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