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COHUCohu, Inc.Sell6.0·$59.44+1.89%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Two consecutive large earnings misses, a stock already trading above its resistance target with a negative risk/reward ratio, an 18% short interest the data characterizes as warranted, and a quality profile below the minimum acceptable floor combine to present a comprehensively cautionary picture — the weight of evidence does not support new exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Minimum FloorImproving
  • Consecutive Large Earnings MissesStable
  • Above Resistance Negative Risk RewardDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cohu, Inc. (COHU) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $59.44: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality.

Cohu is a global supplier of semiconductor test automation, inspection and interface equipment, serving integrated device manufacturers, OSATs and fabless companies with an installed base of over 25,000 systems across 108 customers in 31 countries. Recurring revenue from... Read more

$59.44+4.0% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#10 of 25 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.36%
Stop $55.15Target $61.66(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$70.88+19.2%8 analysts
$61.66our TP
$59.44price
$70.88mean
$80

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $59.44: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Cohu, Inc.

About Cohu, Inc.

Cohu supplies semiconductor test automation, inspection, interface, and software analytics equipment from an installed base exceeding 25,000 systems across more than 280 manufacturing facilities and 108 customers in 31 countries. Fiscal 2025 R&D spending reached $92.2 million, and recurring revenue, spanning interface products, spares, software and services, made up 60% of net sales versus 40% from systems, as the company targets a roughly $3 billion serviceable available market in AI-driven test and inspection.

Cohu's customers fall into three groups: integrated device manufacturers that design and test their own chips, outsourced semiconductor assembly and test (OSAT) providers serving fabless customers, and fabless semiconductor companies that influence test strategy through OSAT partners. STMicroelectronics was the only customer exceeding 10% of net sales in the past three years, at 12.0% in 2023, falling below that threshold in 2024 and 2025. Product lines span test automation with active thermal control, six-sided optical inspection and metrology, semiconductor ATE for RF, digital and mixed-signal testing, interface products such as test contactors and probe cards, and an AI-driven software analytics platform. Manufacturing is concentrated geographically, with Cohu's largest facility in Melaka, Malaysia, supplemented by smaller U.S. and German product-development sites and additional interface-product plants in the Philippines, Singapore and Japan; Cohu competes against Advantest, Teradyne, Hon Precision and KLA. Backlog stood at $165.1 million at fiscal year-end 2025, up from $138.0 million a year earlier.

Show full overview

Two concentrations stand out in Cohu's own risk factors: on the demand side, the ten largest customers represented 60% of total revenue in 2025, in an industry the company itself describes as having a few large customers accounting for most sales; on the supply side, Cohu states it depends upon Jabil to manufacture most of its semiconductor test systems from a single facility in Malaysia, and warns that unexpected downtime there could leave it unable to fulfill customer orders with no assurance that alternative capacity could be obtained on favorable terms. Many key parts are also sourced from single or limited suppliers, compounding the manufacturing-side exposure.

See also: Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

From Cohu, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15

Recent Developments — Cohu, Inc.

Generated 2026-08-15T13:12:18Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202675d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top-ten customers (60.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: Jabil (contract manufacturer, Malaysia)
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)32.1
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA205.6
Profit Mgn-7.4%
ROE-4.8%
Rev Growth38.4%
Beta1.60
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.01bullish
IV89%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop-ten customers60%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, our ten largest customers represented 60% of total revenue.'
  • HIGHSupplierJabil (contract manufacturer, Malaysia)
    10-K Item 1A: 'we depend upon Jabil to manufacture most of our semiconductor test systems from its facility located in Malaysia.'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle- or limited-source component suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Many key parts may be available only from a single supplier or a limited number of suppliers, increasing our vulnerability to supply interruptions.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
1.0
52w Position
5.9
Gap
6.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.2
Gross Margin
4.8
Fcf Quality
5.5
Moat
5.8
Current Ratio
7.3
Piotroski F
8.9
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 13%, FCF yield 2.4%)Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $39.20Resistance $59.88

Price Targets

$55
$62
A.Upside+4.0%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-9.2% YoY), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.15% of cap), Negative free cash flow
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is COHU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $59.44: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $55.15. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the COHU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.66 (+4.0% upside). Prior stop was $55.15. Stop-loss: $55.15.

What are the risks of investing in COHU?

Concentration risk — Customer: top-ten customers (60.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: Jabil (contract manufacturer, Malaysia); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is COHU overvalued or undervalued?

Cohu, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 32.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about COHU?

14 analysts cover COHU with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $71.

What does Cohu, Inc. do?Cohu is a global supplier of semiconductor test automation, inspection and interface equipment, serving integrated...

Cohu is a global supplier of semiconductor test automation, inspection and interface equipment, serving integrated device manufacturers, OSATs and fabless companies with an installed base of over 25,000 systems across 108 customers in 31 countries. Recurring revenue from interface products, services and software made up 60% of fiscal 2025 net sales, while the company's ten largest customers accounted for 60% of total revenue and semiconductor test system manufacturing depends heavily on contract manufacturer Jabil's facility in Malaysia.

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