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COAGHemab Therapeutics Holdings, InSell5.3·$46.66+1.81%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Hemab Therapeutics shows unusually heavy, broad-based insider buying and an attractive valuation against its analyst target, but a thin risk-reward gap that fails the engine's own gate, quality below the investability floor, and a purely speculative small-cap classification keep conviction and position sizing at essentially zero.

Thesis pillars

  • Heavy Broad Based Insider BuyingStable
  • Attractive Valuation Vs Analyst TargetImproving
  • Failed Asymmetry GateStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, In (COAG) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5QualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $46.66: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing therapies that reimagine the treatment of blood coagulation disorders to sustain life and human resilience in United States of America and Denmark. Its products includes (HMB-001), is... Read more

$46.66-8.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#119 of 254 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
Stop $44.00Target $51.11(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$50.00+7.2%5 analysts
$51.11our TP
$46.66price
$50.00mean
$55

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $46.66: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25

Recent Developments — Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, In

Generated 2026-07-25T11:07:03Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-8.1% upside)
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 3.0), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.05% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-18.2
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA-30.4
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.5
Quality concerns
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
83 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $27.56Resistance $52.15

Price Targets

$44
$51
A.Upside-8.1%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 3.0), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.05% of cap)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for COAG.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is COAG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $46.66: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $44.00. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the COAG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.11 (-8.1% upside). Prior stop was $44.00. Stop-loss: $44.00.

What are the risks of investing in COAG?

Target reached (-8.1% upside); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 3.0), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.05% of cap).

Is COAG overvalued or undervalued?

Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, In trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -18.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about COAG?

11 analysts cover COAG with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $50.

What does Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, In do?Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing therapies that...

Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing therapies that reimagine the treatment of blood coagulation disorders to sustain life and human resilience in United States of America and Denmark. Its products includes (HMB-001), is a bispecific antibody currently in Phase 1/2 clinical development for the prophylactic treatment of Glanzmann thrombasthenia and Phase 2 clinical development for the prophylactic treatment of Factor VII deficiency; and second clinical-stage asset, HMB-002, is a monovalent antibody in Phase 1/2 clinical development for the subcutaneous prophylactic treatment of Von Willebrand disease. It also advances multiple preclinical and discovery-stage assets. The company was founded in 2020 and is based in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Related stocks: CRMD (CorMedix Inc.) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · ZVRA (Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.) · ABUS (Arbutus Biopharma Corporation) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I)
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