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CMBTCMB.TECH NVSell6.8·$19.49+4.22%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

CMB.TECH presents a high-growth, attractively valued business with 121% year-over-year revenue expansion and a forward earnings multiple of 10.3x, but inconsistent earnings delivery — three misses before a most-recent beat — and a significantly negative free cash flow position introduce meaningful execution uncertainty that warrants a cautious hold rather than new exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Hypergrowth At Discount ValuationStable
  • Free Cash Flow Deeply NegativeStable
  • Earnings Delivery ImprovementDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $19.49 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing).

Cmb.Tech NV engages in marine transportation business in Belgium. It operates through three divisions: Marine, H2 Infra, and H2 Industry. The Marine division designs, builds, owns, and operates various low and zero carbon ships and vessels, such as crew transfer vessels,... Read more

$19.49-10.8% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#12 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-9.15%
IncomeYield4.28%(5y avg 19.01%)Payout30.41%sustainable
Stop $18.35Target $22.41(default +15%)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$20.45+4.9%4 analysts
$22.41our TP
$19.49price
$20.45mean
$16
$23

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $19.49 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 26, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.6
P/E (Fwd)12.6
Mkt Cap$5.7B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn37.2%
ROE29.6%
Rev Growth81.5%
Beta0.17
Dividend4.28%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C2.47bearish
IV57%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
4.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
Gap
4.0
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
77 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.05Resistance $19.61

Price Targets

$18
$22
A.Upside-10.8%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.8% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-26 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CMBT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $19.49 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $18.35. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CMBT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.41 (-10.8% upside). Prior stop was $18.35. Stop-loss: $18.35.

What are the risks of investing in CMBT?

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.6% away).

Is CMBT overvalued or undervalued?

CMB.TECH NV trades at a P/E of 6.6 (forward 12.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CMBT?

14 analysts cover CMBT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $20.

What does CMB.TECH NV do?Cmb.Tech NV engages in marine transportation business in Belgium. It operates through three divisions: Marine, H2...

Cmb.Tech NV engages in marine transportation business in Belgium. It operates through three divisions: Marine, H2 Infra, and H2 Industry. The Marine division designs, builds, owns, and operates various low and zero carbon ships and vessels, such as crew transfer vessels, ferries, commissioning service operations vessels, tugboats, ammonia-powered large bulk carriers, container ships, and chemical and crude oil tankers. The H2 Infra division develops and secures green molecule supplies; and produces and distributes green hydrogen and ammonia. The H2 Industry division provides scalable dual-fuel industrial applications. The company was formerly known as Euronav NV and changed its name to Cmb.Tech NV in October 2024. Cmb.Tech NV was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Antwerp, Belgium. Cmb.Tech NV is a subsidiary of CMB NV.

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