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CHCOCity Holding CompanyHold4.7·$141.95-1.42%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

City Holding has compiled a strong recent earnings record and best-in-class margins, but the stock has largely closed the gap to analyst targets with only 1.1% remaining to the near-term price objective and an unfavorable risk/reward, and underlying growth remains soft — limiting the case for new capital at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings ExecutionStable
  • Margin And Balance Sheet StrengthStable
  • Priced Past Attractive EntryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

City Holding Company (CHCO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $141.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away).

City Holding Company operates City National Bank of West Virginia, a 96-branch community bank across West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, and southeastern Ohio offering commercial, consumer, mortgage, and wealth management services. Net interest income is the primary revenue... Read more

$141.95-15.7% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#220 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.40%(5y avg 2.68%)Payout37.24%sustainable
Stop $140.27Target $166.69(default +15%)A.R:R -3.1:1
Analyst target$140.40-1.1%5 analysts
$166.69our TP
$141.95price
$140.40mean
$128
$167

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $141.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.7% away)
Weak overall score: 4.7/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.9
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn41.1%
ROE16.8%
Rev Growth0.9%
Beta0.47
Dividend2.40%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.08bullish
IV90%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.6
Revenue Growth
2.7

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -3.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $141.72Resistance $148.99

Price Targets

$140
$167
A.Upside-15.7%
A.R:R-3.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.7% upside)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHCO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $141.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $166.69 (+17.4%), stop $140.27 (−1.2%), A.R:R -3.1:1. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $166.69 (-15.7% upside). Target $166.69 (+17.4%), stop $140.27 (−1.2%), A.R:R -3.1:1. Stop-loss: $140.27.

What are the risks of investing in CHCO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away); Weak overall score: 4.7/10.

Is CHCO overvalued or undervalued?

City Holding Company trades at a P/E of 15.9 (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CHCO?

10 analysts cover CHCO with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $140.

What does City Holding Company do?City Holding Company operates City National Bank of West Virginia, a 96-branch community bank across West Virginia,...

City Holding Company operates City National Bank of West Virginia, a 96-branch community bank across West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, and southeastern Ohio offering commercial, consumer, mortgage, and wealth management services. Net interest income is the primary revenue source; the loan portfolio is split 47% residential mortgage and home equity, 52% combined commercial and industrial and commercial real estate, across 934 full-time equivalent employees.

Related stocks: CARE (Carter Bankshares, Inc.) · PKBK (Parke Bancorp, Inc.) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation) · ISTR (Investar Holding Corporation) · MBIN (Merchants Bancorp)
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