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CHCOCity Holding CompanyHold5.2·$139.62+1.50%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

City Holding has compiled a strong recent earnings record and best-in-class margins, but the stock has largely closed the gap to analyst targets with only 1.1% remaining to the near-term price objective and an unfavorable risk/reward, and underlying growth remains soft — limiting the case for new capital at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings ExecutionDeteriorating
  • Margin And Balance Sheet StrengthDeteriorating
  • Priced Past Attractive EntryDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

City Holding Company (CHCO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $139.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.5% away).

City Holding Company operates City National Bank of West Virginia, a 96-branch community bank across West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, and southeastern Ohio offering commercial, consumer, mortgage, and wealth management services. Net interest income is the primary revenue... Read more

$139.62-17.7% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#207 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.53%(5y avg 2.71%)Payout36.60%sustainable
Stop $133.12Target $137.46(resistance)A.R:R -2.2:1
Analyst target$132.00-5.5%5 analysts
$137.46our TP
$139.62price
$132.00mean
$128

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $139.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 87d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202687d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.5% away)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.2
P/E (Fwd)14.8
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn41.1%
ROE16.8%
Rev Growth1.2%
Beta0.48
Dividend2.53%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.6
Revenue Growth
2.8

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.6
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -2.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 87d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $128.54Resistance $140.27

Price Targets

$133
$137
A.Upside-17.7%
A.R:R-2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (87d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHCO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $139.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $137.46 (-1.5%), stop $133.12 (−4.9%), A.R:R -2.2:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $137.46 (-17.7% upside). Target $137.46 (-1.5%), stop $133.12 (−4.9%), A.R:R -2.2:1. Stop-loss: $133.12.

What are the risks of investing in CHCO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.5% away); Weak growth.

Is CHCO overvalued or undervalued?

City Holding Company trades at a P/E of 15.2 (forward 14.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CHCO?

10 analysts cover CHCO with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $132.

What does City Holding Company do?City Holding Company operates City National Bank of West Virginia, a 96-branch community bank across West Virginia,...

City Holding Company operates City National Bank of West Virginia, a 96-branch community bank across West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, and southeastern Ohio offering commercial, consumer, mortgage, and wealth management services. Net interest income is the primary revenue source; the loan portfolio is split 47% residential mortgage and home equity, 52% combined commercial and industrial and commercial real estate, across 934 full-time equivalent employees.

Related stocks: CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · BHB (Bar Harbor Bankshares, Inc.) · NBBK (NB Bancorp, Inc.) · NBN (Northeast Bank)
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