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CHCOCity Holding CompanySell5.0·$134.85-0.30%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

City Holding has compiled a strong recent earnings record and best-in-class margins, but the stock has largely closed the gap to analyst targets with only 1.1% remaining to the near-term price objective and an unfavorable risk/reward, and underlying growth remains soft — limiting the case for new capital at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings ExecutionStable
  • Margin And Balance Sheet StrengthStable
  • Priced Past Attractive EntryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

City Holding Company (CHCO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $134.85 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.0% away).

City Holding Company operates City National Bank of West Virginia, a 96-branch community bank across West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, and southeastern Ohio offering commercial, consumer, mortgage, and wealth management services. Net interest income is the primary revenue... Read more

$134.85-1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#210 of 225 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.58%(5y avg 2.71%)Payout36.60%sustainable
Stop $128.61Target $133.45(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$131.40-2.6%5 analysts
$133.45our TP
$134.85price
$131.40mean
$125

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $134.85 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.0% away)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.9
P/E (Fwd)14.2
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn41.3%
ROE17.0%
Rev Growth5.5%
Beta0.48
Dividend2.58%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV55%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.4
Revenue Growth
3.9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.7
Support Resistance
1.1
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $124.33Resistance $136.17

Price Targets

$129
$133
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $134.85 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $128.61. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $133.45 (-1.0% upside). Prior stop was $128.61. Stop-loss: $128.61.

What are the risks of investing in CHCO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.0% away); Weak growth.

Is CHCO overvalued or undervalued?

City Holding Company trades at a P/E of 14.9 (forward 14.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CHCO?

10 analysts cover CHCO with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $131.

What does City Holding Company do?City Holding Company operates City National Bank of West Virginia, a 96-branch community bank across West Virginia,...

City Holding Company operates City National Bank of West Virginia, a 96-branch community bank across West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, and southeastern Ohio offering commercial, consumer, mortgage, and wealth management services. Net interest income is the primary revenue source; the loan portfolio is split 47% residential mortgage and home equity, 52% combined commercial and industrial and commercial real estate, across 934 full-time equivalent employees.

Related stocks: NBN (Northeast Bank) · BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · NPB (Northpointe Bancshares, Inc.) · CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · COFS (ChoiceOne Financial Services, I)
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