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CHCOCity Holding CompanyHold5.0·$141.97
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

City Holding has compiled a strong recent earnings record and best-in-class margins, but the stock has largely closed the gap to analyst targets with only 1.1% remaining to the near-term price objective and an unfavorable risk/reward, and underlying growth remains soft — limiting the case for new capital at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings Execution→Stable
  • Margin And Balance Sheet Strength→Stable
  • Priced Past Attractive Entry→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

City Holding Company (CHCO) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $141.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away).

City Holding Company operates City National Bank of West Virginia, a 96-branch community bank across West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, and southeastern Ohio offering commercial, consumer, mortgage, and wealth management services. Net interest income is the primary revenue... Read more

$141.97-14.0% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#212 of 221 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.50%(5y avg 2.68%)Payout37.24%sustainable
Stop $137.43Target $163.27(default +15%)A.R:R -2.8:1
Analyst target$140.40-1.1%5 analysts
$163.27our TP
$141.97price
$140.40mean
$128
$163

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $141.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.7% away)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.2
P/E (Fwd)14.5
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn41.1%
ROE16.8%
Rev Growth0.9%
Beta0.47
Dividend2.50%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV41%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.6
Revenue Growth
2.7
GatesA.R:R -2.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $138.48Resistance $146.45

Price Targets

$137
$163
A.Upside-14.0%
A.R:R-2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHCO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $141.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $163.27 (+15.0%), stop $137.43 (−3.3%), A.R:R -2.8:1. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $163.27 (-14.0% upside). Target $163.27 (+15.0%), stop $137.43 (−3.3%), A.R:R -2.8:1. Stop-loss: $137.43.

What are the risks of investing in CHCO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away); Weak growth.

Is CHCO overvalued or undervalued?

City Holding Company trades at a P/E of 15.2 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CHCO?

10 analysts cover CHCO with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $140.

What does City Holding Company do?City Holding Company operates City National Bank of West Virginia, a 96-branch community bank across West Virginia,...

City Holding Company operates City National Bank of West Virginia, a 96-branch community bank across West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, and southeastern Ohio offering commercial, consumer, mortgage, and wealth management services. Net interest income is the primary revenue source; the loan portfolio is split 47% residential mortgage and home equity, 52% combined commercial and industrial and commercial real estate, across 934 full-time equivalent employees.

Related stocks: CARE (Carter Bankshares, Inc.) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation) · AUB (Atlantic Union Bankshares Corpo) · ISTR (Investar Holding Corporation) · PLBC (Plumas Bancorp)
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