Skip to main content

City Holding Company (CHCO) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $122.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, and southeastern Ohio; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial and industrial and commercial real estate loans (~52% of loan portfolio) (52.0%).

City Holding Company is a WV-based financial holding company operating City National Bank's 96 branches in West Virginia (58), Kentucky (22), Virginia (13), and southeastern Ohio (3), with ~$53B in total assets. Community banking is the sole reportable segment; ~13% deposit... Read more

$122.39+3.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#125 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.80%(5y avg 2.71%)Payout36.60%sustainable
Stop $117.53Target $126.32(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$131.40+7.4%5 analysts
$126.32our TP
$122.39price
$131.40mean
$135

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $122.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, and southeastern Ohio; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial and industrial and commercial real estate loans (~52% of loan portfolio) (52.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — City Holding Company

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, and southeastern Ohio
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial and industrial and commercial real estate loans (~52% of loan portfolio) (52.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.4
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn41.3%
ROE17.0%
Rev Growth5.5%
Beta0.49
Dividend2.80%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicWest Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, and southeastern Ohio
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company’s business is concentrated in West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia and southeastern Ohio'
  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial and industrial and commercial real estate loans (~52% of loan portfolio)52%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 52% of the Company’s loan portfolio was categorized as commercial and industrial and commercial real estate'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfolioresidential mortgage and home equity loans (~47% of loan portfolio)47%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 47% of the Company’s loan portfolio was categorized as residential mortgage and home equity loans'
  • MEDIUMregulatoryOCC (primary regulator of City National Bank)
    10-K Item 1: 'City National is organized as a national banking association under the National Bank Act...subject to regulation and examination by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-29Item 5.02LOW
    Michael 'Tim' T. Quinlan Jr. named President of City National Bank effective April 29, 2026. Charles Hageboeck remains CEO of the Bank and President/CEO of City Holding. Internal promotion; no departure from the Company. Employment agreement amended to reflect title change.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
7.6
Uptrend pullback (RSI 39) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.4
Revenue Growth
3.9
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $119.71Resistance $128.90

Price Targets

$118
$126
A.Upside+3.2%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.7% upside)
! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHCO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $122.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, and southeastern Ohio; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial and industrial and commercial real estate loans (~52% of loan portfolio) (52.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $126.32 (+3.2%), stop $117.53 (−4.1%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $126.32 (+3.1% upside). Target $126.32 (+3.2%), stop $117.53 (−4.1%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Stop-loss: $117.53.

What are the risks of investing in CHCO?

Concentration risk — Geographic: West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, and southeastern Ohio; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial and industrial and commercial real estate loans (~52% of loan portfolio) (52.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CHCO overvalued or undervalued?

City Holding Company trades at a P/E of 13.4 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CHCO?

10 analysts cover CHCO with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $131.

What does City Holding Company do?City Holding Company is a WV-based financial holding company operating City National Bank's 96 branches in West...

City Holding Company is a WV-based financial holding company operating City National Bank's 96 branches in West Virginia (58), Kentucky (22), Virginia (13), and southeastern Ohio (3), with ~$53B in total assets. Community banking is the sole reportable segment; ~13% deposit market share in WV counties and 24% in eastern KY counties.

Related stocks: IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.) · GABC (German American Bancorp, Inc.) · VLY (Valley National Bancorp)