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CDROCodere Online Luxembourg, S.A.Hold5.6·$9.08+0.61%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Codere Online shows excellent cash conversion and strong Piotroski quality, but weakening momentum that has tripped the engine's gate, value-trap signals from margin compression, and a thin risk/reward asymmetry argue for reducing exposure rather than adding.

Thesis pillars

  • Value Trap Margin CompressionImproving
  • Excellent Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Weak Momentum Below Gate ThresholdImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. (CDRO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5QualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Gambling

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.6%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.04% of cap).

Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an online casino gaming and sports betting company in Spain, Mexico, and internationally. It offers online casino games available in land-based casinos, gaming halls, and gambling establishments, such as... Read more

$9.08+18.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#5 of 8 Gambling
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.60%
Stop $8.55Target $10.77(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$12.67+39.5%3 analysts
$10.77our TP
$9.08price
$12.67mean
$16

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.6%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.04% of cap). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 93d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 16, 202693d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.6%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.04% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)302.7
P/E (Fwd)14.7
Mkt Cap$413M
EV/EBITDA62.5
Profit Mgn0.6%
ROE4.9%
Rev Growth6.6%
Beta0.45
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5A.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 93d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.81Resistance $9.68

Price Targets

$9
$11
A.Upside+18.6%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts10
Consensus3.9/5
Avg Target$13

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-16 (93d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CDRO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.6%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.04% of cap). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $10.77 (+18.6%), stop $8.55 (−6.2%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CDRO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.77 (+18.6% upside). Target $10.77 (+18.6%), stop $8.55 (−6.2%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Stop-loss: $8.55.

What are the risks of investing in CDRO?

Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 2.6%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.04% of cap).

Is CDRO overvalued or undervalued?

Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. trades at a P/E of 302.7 (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CDRO?

10 analysts cover CDRO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. do?Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an online casino gaming and sports betting...

Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an online casino gaming and sports betting company in Spain, Mexico, and internationally. It offers online casino games available in land-based casinos, gaming halls, and gambling establishments, such as slot machines, table games, and bingo, as well as online casino through its website and mobile applications; and online sports betting and other bets under the Codere brand. Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. is headquartered in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

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