Value
7.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 8.9 |
| Fwd P/E | 5.7 |
| PEG | 5.3 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 22.5x
- ▸PEG: 1.43
CDRO · Why this verdict
Why Codere Online Luxembourg (CDRO) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.6 |
| ROA | 3.1 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 1.0 |
| Net margin | 0.3 |
| Current ratio | 5.1 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 7.2 |
| Rule of 40 | 3.0 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NI
- ▸Rule of 40: 14 (fail)
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
4.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.1 |
| EPS growth | 5.2 |
Momentum
3.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 2.8 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 8.2 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 26%
Insider
3.8/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $172,384 (0.040% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.7/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 1.9 |
| quality rank | 1.3 |
| growth rank | 2.5 |
Technical
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.6 |
| support resistance | 5.6 |
| 52w position | 8.6 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.8 |
| days to cover | 0.0 |
| volatility | 2.4 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 9.5 |
Catalyst
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 5.6 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 7.9 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:26d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.1<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.8<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.82
Upside
+6.7%
Downside
8.1%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRange Bound — RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNo clear edge — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAggressive — MCap $0.4B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 5.0 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 7.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:3.1<4.5, ASYMMETRY:0.8<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.82 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.0, Technical at 6.9, and Risk (lower is worse) at 6.1; the weakest are Peer rank at 2.7, Momentum at 3.1, and Insider at 3.8. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.82 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.